While S&P faced being ‘black-called’ after daring to downgrade US sovereign rating in 2011, Moody’s decision to (rightfully) downgrade Turkey to ‘junk’ (and warn on its banking system) has prompted a direct threat from the country’s strongman leader.
In September 2016, rating agency Moody’s cut Turkey’s sovereign credit rating to Ba1 or “junk” from Baa3, citing worries about the rule of law after an attempted coup and risks from a slowing economy, in a move that could deter billions of dollars of investment. “The drivers of the downgrade are … the increase in the risks related to the country’s sizeable external funding requirements (and) the weakening in previously supportive credit fundamentals, particularly growth and institutional strength,” Moody’s said in an e-mailed statement. “The government’s response to the unsuccessful coup attempt raises further concerns regarding the predictability and effectiveness of government policy and the rule of law.”
The cut is Turkey’s second since a failed (or as some claim orchestrated) coup in July threatened to destabilize national security.
And since then the capital flight has been significant and the currency has collapsed, not helped by Moody’s decision in to put Turkey’s Ba2 rating on review for downgrade…
Which has pissed Erdogan off and today he lashed out in the most aggressive manner yet.
“God willing, we will conduct an operation against Moody’s after June 24. Moody’s is making unnecessary statements despite the fact that we are not a member of it. What a shame,” state-run Anadolu Agency cites President Recep Tayyip Erdogan as saying.
“Moody’s is taking steps to defame Turkey, to put it in a difficult situation…It will not succeed”
The response in the market was quick – selling of the Lira – erasing much of the spike from the big rate hike…
We would stroingly suggest any local Moody’s reps leave the country – Erdogan seems to have no problem arresting and detaining anyone for anything.