Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Actuarial science

Axel Merk’s 2018 Outlook: “What Can Possibly Go Wrong?”

Authored by Axel Merk via MerkInvestments.com, With the stock market and Bitcoin reaching all-time highs, what can possibly go wrong? In offering my thoughts on 2018, I see my role in reminding investors to stress test their portfolios. Is your portfolio built of straw, sticks or brick? First, let me allege many investors have portfolios […]

Biggest Bubble Ever? 2017 Recapped In 15 Bullet Points

Yesterday we presented readers with one of the most pessimistic, if not outright apocalyptic, 2018 year previews, courtesy of BofA’s chief investment, Michael Hartnett who warned that in addition to the bursting of the bond bubble in the first half of the year, the stock market could see a 1987-like flash crash, potentially followed by […]

Bank Of America: “This Is A Clear Sign Of Irrational Exuberance”

The latest monthly Fund Manager Survey by Bank of America confirmed what recent market actions have already demonstrated, namely that, as BofA Chief Investment Strategist Michael Hartnett explained, there is a “big market conviction in Goldilocks leading to capitulation into risk assets” while at the same time sending Fund managers’ cash levels to a 4-year […]

One Trader Warns Of “The True Danger Ahead”

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist, It’s easy for me to sit back and take pot shots at the hedge fund gurus calling for a repeat of the 2008 crash. Spouting words about markets never repeating the previous crisis is kind of cheap. If I am so sure history won’t repeat, why don’t […]

Kass Warns: “The Scent Of Group Stink Is As Strong As In 2000 & 2007”

Authored by Doug Kass via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, * In a paperless and cloudy world, are investors and citizens as safe as the markets assume we are? –Kass Diary Another provocative missile launched by North Korea and another apparent terrorist attack in London, England, are, once again, overnight and early-morning features of our reality as investors and as […]

Pension Ponzi Exposed: Minnesota Underfunding Triples After Tweaking This One Small Assumption…

Defined Benefit Pension Plans are, in many cases, a ponzi scheme.  Current assets are used to pay current claims in full despite insufficient funding to pay future liabilities… classic Ponzi.  But unlike wall street and corporate ponzi schemes no one goes to jail here because the establishment is complicit.  Everyone from government officials to union […]

VAR Shocks!

By Chris at www.CapitalistExploits.at How much money can you lose on any given day according to an entire squadron of dynamic variable factors? It’s called value at risk (VAR), and because every hedge fund, investment bank, prop house, and algo firm wants to assess their own risk — while at the same time sneakily wanting to know […]

T.Rowe Price Issues A Warning For Investors, Cuts Stock Allocation To Lowest Since 2000

One day after DoubleLine chief Jeff Gundlach told Bloomberg TV that it is time for investors to head for the exits as his highest conviction trade is “volatility is about to go up”, and that he is reducing his positions in junk bonds, EM debt and other lower-quality investments on fears investor sentiment may roll […]

Why We’re So Risk-Averse: “We Can’t Take That Chance”

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog, If our faith in the future and our resilience is near-zero, then we can't take any chances. You've probably noticed how risk-averse Hollywood has become: the big summer movies are all extensions of existing franchises–mixing up the superheroes in new combinations, or remaking hit films from the […]

Illinois “Budget Deal” Is Likely The Death Knell For The State’s $130 Billion Underfunded Pensions

Last August, in a post that attempted to explain why public pensions are really about $8 trillion underfunded, as opposed to the $3-$5 trillion that you frequently see tossed around in the press, we described pensions in the following way: Defined Benefit Pension Plans are, in many cases, a ponzi scheme.  Current assets are used […]