Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Albert Edwards

Jail, Drugs And Video Games: Why Millennial Men Are Disappearing From The Labor Force

Last week, Goldman Sachs pointed out a very disturbing trend in the US labor market: where the participation rate for women in the prime age group of 25-54 have seen a dramatic rebound in the past 2 years, such a move has been completeloy missing when it comes to their peer male workers. As Goldman’s […]

“I Was Wrong”: Albert Edwards Finds Something That Has Never Happened Before

At the start of the year, we were surprised when SocGen’s Albert “Ice Age” Edwards, the biggest perma-deflationist on Wall Street, flipped his outlook on the US economy, and said he now expected a fast spike in inflation driven by wage growth, which in turn would prompt an even more accelerated tightening cycle by the […]

“What If”: Citi Models A World Where The Fed Hikes All The Way To 3%

It is becoming increasingly apparent that the Fed, now data-independent, has just one mandate: keep hiking interest rates until markets break. That is the conclusion of Citi’s Jeremy Hale, who writes that the FOMC minutes pointed to a view that financial conditions had eased despite the previous Fed hikes because equities had rallied and corporate […]

Former Fed Governor: “The Fed Isn’t As Independent As Many Think”

With every passing day, the Fed is slowly losing the game, a point made earlier today by SocGen’s Albert Edwards who wrotes that “Citizens Will Soon Turn Their Rage Towards Central Bankers.” And it is not just skeptical pundits, and former (and in some cases current) Fed presidents admitting central banks are increasingly powerless to […]

Albert Edwards: “What On Earth Is Going On With US Wages”

When Albert Edwards predicted in late 2016 that a surge in wage inflation was imminent, we were confused by this prediction from the world’s preeminent deflationist: after all, not only had not a single economic indicator validated a tighter labor market despite unemployment just above 4%, but as we have have repeatedly demonstrated what little […]

Quiet Start To Quad-Witching St. Paddy’s Day: Futures Flat, Global Stocks Mixed

A quiet start to today’s quad-witching St. Patrick’s day, with European stocks mixed, Asian shares and U.S. index futures (-0.1%) little changed ahead of industrial production data with just Tiffany’s set to report earnings. Emerging markets headed toward the best week in eight months even as the global equities rally spurred by the Federal Reserve’s […]

The Very Strange State Of The Market

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Last week I reviewed Why This Market Reminds Me Of 1999: “While there is much hope the new President, and his newly minted cabinet, will “Make America Great Again,” there can be a huge difference between expectations and reality. And, like in 1999, there is just the simple realization that eventually […]

It’s 1994 Again: Why Albert Edwards Expects An Imminent “Bond Market Bloodbath”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Mar 9, 2017 12:44 PM Following the Trump presidential victory, two prominent macro strategists have undergone a significant change in their outlook: while David Rosenberg, who started off with a deflationary, and bearish outlook, then flipped to inflationary (and bullish), has recently once more “mean-reverted” and expects a further drop in yields […]

Albert Edwards: “Agree With Trump Or Not, He Seems Determined To Enact What He Promised”

The latest strategist to step into the pro/anti-Trump fray, is one of the original permabears, SocGen’s Albert Edwards, who in a Thursday note sided with Dan Loeb, and wrote that while the Donald Administration “might be a neo-liberal nightmare” if one strips away some of his more controversial rhetoric on immigration, “a lot of what […]

“Something More Might Be In The Air” – What Has Gotten The “Smart Money” So Spooked?

In the latest Fund Managers’ Survey release by Bank of America this week, there was an overarching agreement on what Wall Street’s “smart money” believes will be the biggest drive of equity prices in the next 6 months. The answer, as shown in the chart below, is Treasury Bond Yields… … and not just any bond […]