Category Archives: Backwardation
OPEC Boosts Oil Demand Estimates, Admits Oil Prices Can’t Rise Above $55
In its latest OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (October) the oil cartel has increased its oil demand estimates for 2017, 2018 on strengthening world economy, and weaker outlook for supplies from its rivals. Specifically, OPEC forecasts that based on the current global oil supply/demand balance, demand for OPEC crude in 2017 is estimated at 32.8 […]
Techs Wrecked, Financials Falter As Korean Threats Spark Gold Gains
Well that all escalated rather quickly… Brent spiking (Kurds and Korea), Gold spiking (Korea), AAPL tumble (weak orders), FANG bloodbath… large into small and growth into value. The day's broad activity was driven by North Korean headlines which sparked a bid for gold (and early anxiety over Europe after Germany's election)… Gold regains the […]
Bitcoin Forked, and Gold and Silver Report 6 August 2017
So bitcoin forked. You did not know this. Well, if you’re saving in gold perhaps not. If you’re betting in the crypto coin casino, you knew it, bet on it, and now we assume happily diving into your greater quantity of dollars after the fork. You don’t have a greater quantity of bitcoins; bitcoin has […]
Anticipating “VIX Shock”, Interactive Brokers Raises Volatility Margins
Even as the VIX has continued to plumb new all time lows, unable to rebound from the realm of single-digits where it has spent a record amount of time in 2017, warnings about a potential surge in the volatility index have been growing in recent weeks. Last week, in a note looking at what may […]
Rig Count Rises By Just 2 As Goldman Expects Oil Market To Rebalance By Early 2018
With WTI heading for its best week since 2016, demand and inventory data is trumping production for now and today's Baker Hughes rig count data did nothing to change that as, following last week's 1 rig drop, producers only added 2 oil rigs in the last week to 766. *U.S. GAS RIG COUNT UP 6 […]
“When The Facts Change”- Oil’s Biggest Cheerleader Capitulates: Andy Hall’s Full Bearish Letter
After years of being oil’s biggest cheerleader, “oil god” Andy Hall, who starting with the OPEC Thanksgiving massacre in 2014 has had several abysmal years, in the process losing the bulk of his AUM, finally threw in the towel last week when in a July 3 letter to investors, he admitted that “the facts have changed” […]
Why The Relationship Between OPEC And Hedge Funds Is On The Verge Of Falling Apart
Following years of acrimony between OPEC and the hedge fund community, which the cartel dismissed simply as “speculators”, things suddenly changed in 2016 when the two groups got so close, there were outright reports of collusion between the two on various occasions. We documented this last month in “Why OPEC Is Colluding With Hedge Funds.” […]