Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Bear Market

Investors Admit Stocks Are The Most Overvalued Since 2000, Rush To Buy Them Anyway

There is something ironic in the latest monthly Fund Manager Survey from Bank of America. On one hand, a net of 34% of survey respondents said equities now the most overvalued in the past 17 years, in other words either fund managers were still in middle school when it happened and don’t recall the 2000 […]

Credit Suisse “Climbs The Wall Of Worry”, Raises S&P Target To 2,500 From 2,350

Following bearish reports from Goldman (which tactically downgraded stocks to Neutral for the next three months just hours before the Fed rate hike), RBC and JPM’s head quant Marko Kolanovic over the past week, overnight Credit Suisse decided to take the other side of the trade and hiked its year end forecasts for the S&P500, […]

Most Overvalued Stock Market On Record — Worse Than 1929?

Stock Market Most Overvalued On Record — Worse Than 1929? The US stock market today has never been more dangerous and overvalued, according to respected Wall Street market analyst John Hussman. Indeed, Hussman goes as far as to say that “this is the most dangerous and overvalued stock market on record — worse than 2007, worse than […]

The World’s Second Most Deceptive Chart

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Last week, I discussed the “World’s Most Deceptive Chart” which explored the deception of “percentage” versus actual “point” losses which has a much greater effect on both the real, and psychological, damage which occurs during a bear market. To wit: “The problem is you DIED long before ever achieving that 5% […]

The “World’s Most Bearish Hedge Fund” Capitulates After Surge In Redemptions

“At some point in my life, and I can’t remember exactly when, I learnt two things that define my approach on how to deal with problems. The first is simply to tell the truth, while it may be unpleasant, at least it is then out in the open and you can begin to work towards […]

Goldman: Investors Will Soon Capitulate

After the inflation in P/E multiples has sent the S&P500 to to a level above the 90% percentile of all historical valuations, Goldman has called a time out, and says that there will be no more multiple expansion. As a result only one thing will push stock prices higher “as equity valuations compress as interest […]

‘Cash On The Sidelines’ Crashes Near Record Lows

With hedge fund liquidity (and their ability to absorb any market shock) at record lows, it seems retail investors are also all-in on stocks. As Ned Davis Research points out, total cash holdings for funds at lowest in 19 years. In a Ned Davis calculation that treats the global investment portfolio as an amalgamation of […]

The World’s Most Deceptive Chart

Via Lance Roberts of RealInvestmentAdvice.com, I received an email last week which I thought was worth discussing. “I just found your site and began reading the backlog of posts on the importance of managing risk and avoiding draw downs. However, the following chart would seem to counter that argument. In the long-term, bear markets seem harmless […]

A Look Back At 1999!

Via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, On Friday, I penned: “The question that must be answered is just how much of the benefit from these fiscal proposals have already been priced in perfection? What happens if tax reform is less than anticipated? Or infrastructure spending is cut from $1 Trillion to $500 billion? Or repatriation only brings back a […]

What If The 1980-Secular Bull Is Still Running?

Via Lance Roberts of RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Valuations & Full Market Cycles In this past weekend’s missive, “Visualizing 10-Reasons For Caution,” I presented a chart heavy analysis of why the current market is likely due for at least a short-term correction. There is little doubt currently “exuberance” is running high following the election of Donald Trump. The […]