Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Black Swans

The 10 “Grey Swans” Events For 2018

One of the traditional push backs against attempts to predict “black swan” events is that they are by default unpredictable, rendering the entire exercise moot. However, for the second year in a row, Nomura’s Bilal Hafeez has found a loophole, or rather loop-animal: the grey swan. As Hafeez writes, while he would like to be […]

Bill Blain: “This Time It Really Is Different! The Machines Have Taken Over And They Will Never Sell”

Submitted by Bill Blain of Mint Partners Forget the Known Unknows, its the shocking surprises that are going to get us “Bubbles don’t grow out of thin air, they have a solid basis in reality. But, reality is distorted by misconception..” And it’s a bad start to the week as my Bloomberg obliquely gave the […]

“Black Swan” Anxiety Has Never Been Higher

The Fed's Williams warns that they "don't want there to be excesses in financial markets… " Two quick things… The market has almost never been this expensive… As Peter Boockvar warns: "Almost there. S&P 500 price to sales ratio is just 4% from March 2000 peak." And investors have never been more concerned about 'black […]

WTI Jumps Above $50 On Report US Prepping Sanctions Against Venezuela Oil Industry

After both Brent and WTI rose above their respective 50DMAs on Friday, capping 2017’s best weekly rally for oil, the rising tide is accelerating as the latest CFTC COT data confirmed, when net specs boosted bullish Nymex WTI crude oil bets by 27K net-long positions to 423K, the highest in two months, as producers continued […]

John Mauldin: “One Of These 3 Black Swans Will Trigger A Global Recession”

Authored by John Mauldin via MauldinEconomics.com, Exactly 10 years ago, we were months way from a world-shaking financial crisis. By late 2006, we had an inverted yield curve steep to be a high-probability indicator of recession. I estimated at that time that the losses would be $400 billion at a minimum. Yet, most of my […]

“Sell Economic Ignorance, Buy Gold”

"We live in an age of advanced monetary surrealism…." is how Incrementum's Ronald-Peter Stoeferle and Mark J. Valek begin their latest epic tome on the precious metals market "In Gold We Trust."  In Q1 2017 alone, the largest central banks created the equivalent of almost USD 1,000 bn. worth of central bank money ex nihilo. […]

Why trusting in the bigger picture gives you trust in gold

Trump pulls out of Paris Climate Accord Why trusting in the bigger picture gives you trust in gold Gold pauses ahead of non-farm payrolls data In Gold We Trust 2017 released Reports on the ‘Everything Bubble’ On average gold is up 5.88% ytd, since start of 2017. Trump ‘was the trigger of the sudden reverse […]

American Exceptionalism: Decelerating Population Growth, Accelerating Money Growth

Authored by Chris Hamilton via Econimica blog, Since 1971, and the disconnection of the dollar from a finite gold backing, the value of money (the dollar) has been determined by it's purchasing power versus the inflation of the assets to be purchased.  Thus printing more money has not necessarily created "wealth" if the assets to be purchased are […]

Summer Epocalypse Countdown: Trump Turmoil Takes Top Off Trump Rally

The following article by David Haggith was published on The Great Recession Blog: When financial Armageddon arrives, it can hit in a flash like a dangerous rogue wave — the kind that rises up when two big waves from different storms intersect and merge into a single wave big enough to capsize a ship. The global Wannacry warware attack and endless waves […]

Chinese Black Swans? No Problem!

With bonds, stocks, and commodities collapsing amid a renewed wave of Chinese monetray conditions tightening, concerns over potential butterfly effects and potential ‘black swans’ are beginning to appear. However, as The South China Morning Post reports, the people of Shanghai have a solution for that… Two deliverymen have been accused of stealing a black swan […]