Category Archives: Chicago Fed
Asian Stocks Smash Records; Dollar Slides As Crude Surges To July 2015 Highs
Global shares hit another record high on Wednesday, propelled higher by what increasingly more call (ir)rational exuberance, and investors’ unflagging enthusiasm for tech stocks. That said, S&P futures are unchanged the morning before Thanksgiving (at least before the market open ramp), as are European stocks (Stoxx 600 is flat), despite the euphoria in the Asian […]
Key Events In The Coming Holiday-Shortened Week
It’s a relatively quiet, holiday-shortened (in the US) week, in which volumes are expected to grind lower as we head into the Thanksgiving holiday. In the US, existing home sales will be reported on Tues, expected to edge up to 5.4mn saar in Oct from 5.39mn in Sep. One day later, we get the durable […]
Global Stocks Tumble, Asia Plunges On Chinese Commodity Carnage
The euphoria of the past month has ended with a thud and BTFDers are strangely missing as the commodity chill out of China (which overnight became full blown carnage), has unleashed a global risk-off phase ahead of today’s critical CPI data, resulting in broad and sharp selling across global markets, as European stocks followed declines […]
Stupidity Well Anchored: Absurdity of Inflation Expectations in Graphic Form
mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / September 21, 2017 The amount of sheer nonsense written about inflation expectations is staggering. Let’s take a look at some recent articles before making a mockery of them with a single picture. Expectations Problem On July 17, 2017, Rich Miller writing for Bloomberg proclaimed The Fed Has an Inflation Expectations Problem. Expectations […]
Tales From The FOMC Underground
Authored by EconomicPrism's MN Gordon, annotated by Acting-Man's Pater Tenebrarum, A Great Big Dud Many of today’s economic troubles are due to a fantastic guess. That the wealth effect of inflated asset prices would stimulate demand in the economy. The premise, as we understand it, was that as stock portfolios bubbled up investors would feel […]
Goldman: The Fed Will Hike This Week, But Here Are “The Two Most Interesting Questions”
On Wedensday the FOMC will hike rates by another 25 bps – an event which the Fed Funds market prices in with near virtual certainty, while Goldman calls the rate increase “extremely likely” – and only a “tail” event like an extremely weak CPI report on Wednesday morning, hours ahead of the Fed announcement, has […]