Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Citigroup

World’s Third Largest Shipbuilder Crashes 29% Amid Asian Equity Carnage

Shares in Samsung Heavy, the world’s third largest shipbuilder, plunged by 29% during Wednesday’s trading session after unexpectedly forecasting operating losses this year and 2018 and announcing a capital raise. Meanwhile, Asian equities tumbled, led by technology, mining and industrial companies, with the MSCI Asia Pacific Index falling for eight straight days, its longest run […]

BMO Sees Risk Of Curve Inverting “As Early As March 2018”

Over the weekend, we published an analysis from Citigroup looking at how long after the yield curve inverts do investors “have to worry.”  The results were interesting: as Citi wrote, while sometimes inversion provides a timely signal for the economic cycle a la 2000, “where Professor Curve predicted almost the ding-dong high in the SPX”, […]

DiMartino Booth Warns Pressure On US Households Is Intensifying

Authored by Danielle DiMartino Booth, Behind the rosy economic headlines, consumer stresses have continued to build and are likely to worsen… Is the U.S. economy enjoying a honeymoon, or is this merely a hiatus? Although this isn’t a subject of discussion among most economists, there will be both good and bad associated with three hurricanes […]

“When To Worry?”: How Long After The Curve Inverts Does The Recession Begin

The recent (bear) flattening of the US yield curve to levels not seen since before the GFC, a move which has only accelerated in recent weeks as the stock market hit all time highs, has prompted some to question the strength of the US economic cycle, and others to ask outright how long before the […]

$1 Trillion Norway Wealth Fund Sees “Red Flag” In Real Estate Market

Back in September, we pointed out that assets managed by Norway’s sovereign wealth fund had surged to over $1 trillion after they made the controversial decision to increase their exposure to global equity bubbles (see: Norway Wealth Fund Assets Surge To Over $1 Trillion On Massive 70% Allocation To Equities).  The move has worked out […]

So Why Did Capital One “Suddenly” Exit Mortgage Lending??

Last week, Capital One Financial (COF) announced that is was formally withdrawing from the residential mortgage loan market.  Some observers mistook this announcement for news, thinking that COF had actually been engaged in residential lending in a serious way.  Housing Wire, for example, reported that COF had “suddenly” exited the mortgage and home equity business. […]

“It’s A Vicious Cycle”: Goldman Abandons Equity Options Market-Making As Vol Collapses

October is historically the most volatile month of the year, but in 2017 – the average volatility of US equity markets dropped to an all-time record low…   … And you know something's wrong when, just like in early 2007 when the crash in vol killed the swaptions industry – just before all hell broke […]

“They’re Ba-ack!” – Citi Says Synthetic CDOs May Reach $100 Billion In 2017, 5x Increase In 2 Years

35-year-old Jia Chen of Citibank probably has no idea where that title quote above came from.  That’s because she was roughly 4 years old when Poltergeist II hit theaters back in 1986… …that said, Citibank, as we noted a few weeks back, has every confidence that Jia is the perfect person to put in charge […]

China Issues First Dollar Bond Since 2004, Bails Out Corporate Liquidity

Despite downgrades from the rating agencies, China is issuing its first sovereign dollar bond issues in 13 years on an unrated basis (what do the agencies know anyway) and at tight spreads to US Treasuries. The 5 and 10-year issues come just over a month since S&P cut the nation’s rating one level to A+ […]

10Y Treasury Yields Just Did Something Every Bond Bear Was Waiting For

10Y Treasury yields just crossed 2017's Maginot Line of 2.40% – the highest in six months…   Following Jeff Gundlach's bearish bond perspective, and the signals from the commodity/reflation markets…  Citi is warning that 2.39-2.40% is HUUUUUGE on the US 10 year yield A break of this resistance (close) would strongly suggest a move to […]