Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Core CPI

The 10 “Grey Swans” Events For 2018

One of the traditional push backs against attempts to predict “black swan” events is that they are by default unpredictable, rendering the entire exercise moot. However, for the second year in a row, Nomura’s Bilal Hafeez has found a loophole, or rather loop-animal: the grey swan. As Hafeez writes, while he would like to be […]

Gold Pops As Bitcoin Drops, Dollar Snaps Longest Win Streak Since Jan 2016

"Contained"…   Post-FOMC, Gold was the biggest gainer…   US Equities were holding to gains but tumbled in the last few minutes with the S&P turning red…   Nasdaq manged to hold gains after The Fed…   VIX was noisy around CPI early on and snapped higher into the close (breaking above the terrifying level […]

Mark Carney Forced To Explain Surge In UK Inflation To Highest In Almost 6 Years

The market expected Mark Carney to avoid it but it was just not meant to be. The BoE Governor will suffer the ignominy of a bizarre tradition of having to write a letter to the Chancellor of the Exchequer explaining why UK inflation is more than 1.0% above the target of 2.0%. The market had […]

Global Stocks Tumble, Asia Plunges On Chinese Commodity Carnage

The euphoria of the past month has ended with a thud and BTFDers are strangely missing as the commodity chill out of China (which overnight became full blown carnage), has unleashed a global risk-off phase ahead of today’s critical CPI data, resulting in broad and sharp selling across global markets, as European stocks followed declines […]

Eurozone Inflation Unexpectedly Cools

In the latest headache for Mario Draghi, the Eurozone's closely watched CPI weakened to 1.40% year-on-year in October 2017 versus expectations of 1.50% and a reading of 1.50% the previous month. As a reminder, according to the ECB's September forecast, HICP inflation is expected to rise to 1.5%, leaving little margin for deflation in the […]

US Futures Rebound After Disappointing Chinese, European Data

Yesterday’s sharp Chinese selloff is now a distant memory after the BTFDers emerged, and this morning U.S. equity futures are once again levitating as the FOMC begins its two-day policy meeting, following an uneventful BOJ announcement on Tuesday morning which left all QE parameters unchanged. Asian stocks traded mixed steady while European shares climb. The […]

ECB Will Avoid A Taper Tantrum Today, But It’s Running Low On Ammunition

Following up to our earlier preview of today’s critical ECB announcement, here is Bloomberg macro commentator Tanvir Sundhu, who says not to sweat what Draghi says today as the ECB will be able to avoid a “taper tantrum” (for now) and as a result the risk isn’t that the ECB is going to set off […]

FX Week Ahead: Discretion And Common Sense Not Easy For “The Machines”

Submitted by Shant Movsesian and Rajan Dhall MSTA of fxdailyterminal.com Coming off the back of a mixed payrolls report which saw the headline number recording a negative balance for the first time in 7 years, the USD initially gained on the rise in wage inflation which recorded a 0.5% increase in average hourly earnings.   Into […]

“I Was Wrong”: Albert Edwards Finds Something That Has Never Happened Before

At the start of the year, we were surprised when SocGen’s Albert “Ice Age” Edwards, the biggest perma-deflationist on Wall Street, flipped his outlook on the US economy, and said he now expected a fast spike in inflation driven by wage growth, which in turn would prompt an even more accelerated tightening cycle by the […]

Small Cap Rout Is Flashing Red Flag For US Economy

The post-election small cap bounce in US stocks has now been completely erased as it seems tax-reforms have now been entirely priced-out of markets. However, as BofAML notes, the demise of small cap stocks relative to the broad market augurs badly for forward-looking economic growth… The Russell 2000 is now the worst performing major index […]