Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Federal funds rate

Fed’s Kaplan Makes A Stark Admission: Equilibrium Rate May Be As Low As 0.25%

As we have hammered away at for years, “the math doesn’t work”, and it appears The Fed just admitted it. In a stunning admission that i) US economic potential is lower than consensus assumes and ii) that the Fed is finally considering the gargantuan US debt load in its interest rate calculations, moments ago the […]

“So What Did We Learn From Yellen?”: Deutsche, Goldman Explain

For those still unsure what Yellen’s rambling, disjointed press conference meant yesterday, or are still in shock over the Fed’s admitted confusion by the “mystery” that is inflation, here is a quick recap courtesy of Deutsche Bank and Goldman, explaining what we (probably) learned from the Fed and Yellen yesterday. First, here is DB’s Jim […]

Fed Begins Balance Sheet Unwind, Expects One More Rate Hike In 2017

Today's the day. On Nov 25, 2008 The Fed announced it would begin buying assets for its own account to save the world. In Oct 2014, The Fed ended its QE3 buying program but continued to reinvest the proceeds to maintain its $4.4 trillion balance sheet. Today, Janet Yellen announced the balance sheet will be […]

Full Preview Of Tomorrow’s “Historic” FOMC Meeting

It is virtually guaranteed that tomorrow the FOMC will make history by officially announcing the Fed’s plan to begin shrinking its balance sheet through the gradual phasing out of bond reinvestments, which however in a world in which other central banks continue to pump $125 billion per month, will hardly by noticed by markets at […]

How Much Is Too Much?

Authored by Michael Lebowitz via 720Global.com, The amount of monetary stimulus increasingly imposed on the financial system creates false signals about the economy’s true growth rate, causing a vast misallocation of capital, impaired productivity and weakened economic activity. To help quantify the amount of stimulus, please consider the graph below. Data Courtesy: Federal Reserve Federal […]

Weekend Reading: Yellen Lets Doves Fly

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestment Advice.com, As I noted in yesterday’s missive, Yellen’s recent testimony on Capitol Hill sent robots frantically chasing asset prices on Thursday even before testimony began. The catalyst was the release of prepared testimony which included this one single sentence: “Because the neutral rate is currently quite low by historical […]

Janet Yellen Is About To Speak: Here’s What To Look For

Fed Chair Yellen will be testifying to the House Financial Services committee at 1000EDT, followed by testimony tomorrow before the Senate Banking Committee (the testimony for both events is likely to be identical, as it has on previous occasions), however her prepared remarks will be released 90 minutes earlier, at 8:30am. Courtesy of RanSquawk, here […]

Clarity Or Confusion At The Fed

Authored by 720Global's Michael Lebowitz via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, “Are you kidding? Are you kidding? No one knows what you’re doing.”    – Economist John Taylor in response to William Dudley’s (President Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Vice Chairman of the Federal Open Market Committee) comment that the Federal Reserve (Fed) has been very clear in […]

When Doves Fly – Bond Market Turbulence Ahead – by Michael Carino

  It is largely acknowledged that after a decade of unprecedented monetary accommodation in the US and abroad, bond markets are extremely overvalued.  Globally, central banks are trying to slowly deflate this bubble but the beast created is not easily broken.  A decade of manipulating bond prices has created a small consortium of large balance […]