Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Federal Reserve System

WTF Headline Of The Day: Fed “Reluctant” To Manipulate Stocks, Bullard Says

Speaking on Bloomberg Radio to Kathleen Hays this morning, outspoken St.Louis Fed chair James Bullard dropped two somewhat shocking reality-check tape-bombs… that we are sure will quickly be rescinded and translated for the hard-of-understanding… First, Bullard was aksed about concerns over a US economic recession. He began with the 'standard' response of any establishment type: […]

Fed Abandons “Yellen’s Favorite” Labor Market Conditions Index (Because It Just Won’t Fit The Narrative?)

Once Janet Yellen's favorite indicator (until it started to turn down, and became just "experimental"), The Fed's Labor Market Conditions Index (a 19-factor smoothed model that has historically correlated extremely well to recession) has been abandoned because The Fed "believes it no longer provides a good summary of changes in the US labor market." The […]

The Most Important Chart For Stocks

We have previously shown the chart below on countless occasions, so we are content to see that increasingly more banks are showcasing it as the biggest potential threat to the future of the market’s artificial levitation. Here is BofA’s Martin Mauro explaining why “investors may be well served by locking in some profits in US […]

How Banks Hurt The Real Economy – FDIC’s Hoenig To Senate

Authored by Wolf Richter via WolfStreet.com,  "The real economy has little to gain, and much to lose.” When tighter regulations were imposed on the banks after the Financial Crisis, the largest among them, the very ones that threatened to bring down the financial system, began squealing. Those voices are now being heard by Congress, which […]

John Mauldin: “One Of These 3 Black Swans Will Trigger A Global Recession”

Authored by John Mauldin via MauldinEconomics.com, Exactly 10 years ago, we were months way from a world-shaking financial crisis. By late 2006, we had an inverted yield curve steep to be a high-probability indicator of recession. I estimated at that time that the losses would be $400 billion at a minimum. Yet, most of my […]

Even Schwab Is Warning Retail Clients Of “Danger Signs Rising”

You know it's bad when even the traditional 'pumpers' are getting anxious. While obviously counched in its own "well maybe that's not totally terrible" spin, reading the following from Charles Schwab suggests Liz Ann Sonders, Brad Sorensen, and Jeffrey Kleintop were all struggling to defend any bullish position and perhaps more desperate to CYA in […]

Market Liquidity Conditions Are Still Loose As A Goose

Via Global Macro Monitor, Since the Fed began raising interest rates in December 2015,  financial market liquidity conditions have loosened considerably.   Recall our post,  Orwellian Monetary Policy,  which we wrote in May. “Tightening is Easing”   Since U.S. monetary policy began tightening in December 2015, the Fed has added liquidity to the financial system […]

“Stocks Are About To Make Dudley, Fischer, And Yellen Extremely Nervous”

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist Stocks Dare The Fed It was only a month ago Fed President Dudley was lecturing us about the dangers of overly easy financial conditions and how inflation’s sanguine performance was “transitory.” And it wasn’t like he was alone. The Fed’s generally accepted second in command, Stanley Fischer, […]

All Conundrums Matter

Authored by Jeffrey Snider via Alhambra Investment Partners, Since we are this week hypocritically obsessing over monetary policy, particularly the federal funds rate end of it, it’s as good a time as any to review the full history of 21st century “conundrum.” Janet Yellen’s Fed has run itself afoul of the bond market, just as […]

Weekend Reading: Yellen Lets Doves Fly

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestment Advice.com, As I noted in yesterday’s missive, Yellen’s recent testimony on Capitol Hill sent robots frantically chasing asset prices on Thursday even before testimony began. The catalyst was the release of prepared testimony which included this one single sentence: “Because the neutral rate is currently quite low by historical […]