Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Fellows of the Econometric Society

Trump Expected To Announce His Pick For Fed Chair In Next Two Weeks

In the latest update on Trump’s search for the next Fed Chair, Reuters reported that the search has narrowed down to 5 finalists – Yellen, Warsh, Taylor, Powell and Cohn (condolences to Jeff Gundlach: his dark horse candidate, Neel Kashkari did not make the cut) – and that after meeting Yellen on Thursday, Trump will […]

Where Trump is failing to fix the economy with monetary policy

(Elite E Services) 10/17/2017 — Dover, DE — It’s no secret that the US economy has diverged into a massive 2 world system where there is also a massive gap in between; the employed and the wealthy have increasingly good lives while the poor and unemployed have a deteriorating quality of life.  As we have […]

One Trader Asks Whatever Happened To “Don’t Fight The Fed?”

Something appears to be off. After two consecutive admissions by Janet Yellen that the Fed has lost its grasp on the “mystery” of inflation, the market no longer appears eager to chase the direction of every Fed proclamation, especially the recent, hawkish ones. And, as Bloomberg’s Mark Cudmore writes this morning, “whether it’s because the […]

If Economists Are So Smart, Why Are They Always Wrong?

When I took Econ 101 and 102 as a young college student back in antediluvian times the textbook we were assigned was Paul Samuelson’s Economics: An Introductory Analysis. This book is the all-time best selling economics textbook and is still around today (19th ed.). I had the 1961 edition. In it, Samuelson, a prominent Keynesian economist who won […]

“It Is A Battle Between Data And Theory” – Fed PhDs Second-Guess Inflation Model After 5 Years Of Failure

Federal Reserve officials are finally waking up to the fact that there’s something wrong with their inflation models. It only took them five years. As Bloomberg points out, the minutes from the Fed’s July policy meeting, released yesterday, included a debate about whether the models that help the central bank set its inflation target are […]

Drugs & Demographics – National Tragedy, But Where From?

Authored by Jeffrey Snider via Alhambra Investment Partners, In 1928, the fertility rate of American females (aged 15 to 44) was 93.8 per 100,000. By 1931, the first year of full Great Depression and collapse, the rate had declined to 84.6. It would bottom out, unsurprisingly, around 1933 and 1935 and the end of the […]

Is Yellen Trying To Ride Into The Sunset?

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, Bernanke presided over the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. Greenspan had the 1987 crash, along with the 2000 DotCom bust. Volcker had the bond debacle of the early 1980’s and the subsequent Latin American debt crisis. For the past 35 years, every Fed Chairperson has been […]

Will Central Banks Derail The Shale Boom?

Authored by Nick Cunningham via OilPrice.com, The U.S. Federal Reserve has already increased interest rates several times, most recently in June, with promises to do much more. Rate hikes pose a problem for the oil industry, which has used debt to underpin a drilling boom across the U.S. shale patch. Higher rates could raise the […]

“Central Bankers Aren’t As Clever (And We’re Not As Dumb) As They Believe”

Authored by Jeffrey Snider via Alhambra Investment Partners, To complete a trifecta, maybe someone could interview Alan Greenspan about rational exuberance. The last of the latest Fed Chairmen, Janet Yellen, purports this week that the next financial crisis will not be in “our lifetimes.” The issue, however, isn’t even crisis so much as credibility. Given […]

How To Stick It To Your Banker, The Fed, & The Whole Doggone Fiat Money System

Authored by EconomicPrism's MN Gordon via Acting-Man.com, Bernanke Redux Somehow, former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke found time from his busy hedge fund advisory duties last week to tell his ex-employer how to do its job.  Namely, he recommended to his former cohorts at the Fed how much they should reduce the Fed’s balance sheet […]