Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Irrational Exuberance

Banks Issue Last Minute Warning About Risks Of Bitcoin Futures, Ask Regulator For Review

As we countdown to the launch of bitcoin futures trading on the CBOE (10 December) and CME (18 December), the big banks – via the Futures Industry Association – have suddenly got cold feet about the risks. We don't blame them, somebody's going to get hurt, the only question is who. The banks are worried […]

David Stockman Derides The Delirious Dozen Of 2017

Authored by David Stockman via Contra Corner blog, We have previously noted the massive market cap inflation and then stupendous collapse of the Delirious Dozen of 2000. The latter included Microsoft, Cisco, Dell, Intel, GE, Yahoo, AIG and Juniper Networks – plus four others which didn't survive (Lucent, WorldCom, Global Crossing and Nortel). Together they represented a classic blow-off […]

“Very Close To Irrational Exuberance”: Asian Equities Break Above All-Time High As Hang Seng Clears 30,000

Following the new all-time high in US equities, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index broke through its November 2007 peak to make an all-time high in Wednesday’s trading session. This was something we noted could happen yesterday in “SocGen: Asian Equities Are So Awesome, A China Minsky Moment Is ‘Manageable”. The dollar weakened slightly after outgoing […]

Bank Of America: “This Is A Clear Sign Of Irrational Exuberance”

The latest monthly Fund Manager Survey by Bank of America confirmed what recent market actions have already demonstrated, namely that, as BofA Chief Investment Strategist Michael Hartnett explained, there is a “big market conviction in Goldilocks leading to capitulation into risk assets” while at the same time sending Fund managers’ cash levels to a 4-year […]

Crypto Mania – Why “It Is Currently Rational To Be Irrational”

Following JP Morgan CEO, Jamie Dimon’s, now infamous rant about Bitcoin being a fraud, a great product for criminals and having no value, Adam Ludwin, CEO of Chain.com, wrote “A Letter to Jamie Dimon”, which received some coverage in the financial media for its balanced discussion regarding the outlook for cryptocurrencies. In his letter, Ludwin […]

Is This China’s Minsky Moment?

Authord by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, Sometimes you have to love the naivety of the markets. At this week’s Communist Party Congress meeting in Beijing, the governor of the PBoC (People’s Bank of China) said the following; “If we are too optimistic when things go smoothly, tensions build up, which could lead […]

Bogle, Buffett, Shiller & Tobin – Valuations Are Expensive

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, During my morning reading, I ran across a couple of very interesting articles that tied a common theme relating to the current risks in the financial markets. Via Zerohedge: 88-year-old investing icon John “Jack” Bogle, founder of the Vanguard Group, said: “The valuations of stocks are, by my standards, […]

“Investing Is Not A Competition… It’s A Game Of Long-Term Survival”

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Melt-Up Gains Traction Back in November, just following the election of President Trump, I wrote about the market entering into potentially the final “melt-up” phase of the cyclical bull market. However, while economic and fundamental realities HAVE NOT changed since the election, markets are pricing in expected impacts of changes […]

Graphic Anatomy of a Stock Market Crash: 1929 stock market crash, dot-com, and Great Recession

The 1929 stock market crash became the benchmark to which all other market crashes have been compared. The following graphs of the crash of 1929 and the Great Depression that followed, the dot-com crash, and the stock market crash during the Great Recession show several interesting similarities in the anatomy of the world’s greatest financial […]

Why It’s So Difficult To Call The Market Top

Via Global Macro Monitor, This is one of our favorite posts of all-time. Thought it apropos to re-post given that everyone and their mother is trying to call the top in stocks.  It’s all about yield-seeking capital flows, my friends.   Tell us what interest rate is the tipping point which thwarts that behavior and we […]