Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Jan Hatzius

Jail, Drugs And Video Games: Why Millennial Men Are Disappearing From The Labor Force

Last week, Goldman Sachs pointed out a very disturbing trend in the US labor market: where the participation rate for women in the prime age group of 25-54 have seen a dramatic rebound in the past 2 years, such a move has been completeloy missing when it comes to their peer male workers. As Goldman’s […]

“So What Did We Learn From Yellen?”: Deutsche, Goldman Explain

For those still unsure what Yellen’s rambling, disjointed press conference meant yesterday, or are still in shock over the Fed’s admitted confusion by the “mystery” that is inflation, here is a quick recap courtesy of Deutsche Bank and Goldman, explaining what we (probably) learned from the Fed and Yellen yesterday. First, here is DB’s Jim […]

Harvey Destruction Prompts Goldman To Cut Government Shutdown Odds

Having in recent weeks boosted its estimate for government shutdown odds to even, or 50%, in a note overnight from Goldman’s Jan Hatzius, the Goldman chief economists writes that due to the human tragedy from Hurricane Harvey, the odds of a shutdown have been again reduced, back to Goldman’s original shutdown estimate of 33%. According […]

Goldman: The Fed Will Hike This Week, But Here Are “The Two Most Interesting Questions”

On Wedensday the FOMC will hike rates by another 25 bps – an event which the Fed Funds market prices in with near virtual certainty, while Goldman calls the rate increase “extremely likely” – and only a “tail” event like an extremely weak CPI report on Wednesday morning, hours ahead of the Fed announcement, has […]

The Answer To El-Erian’s Quandary: It’s “A Perfect Storm” Melt Up

On Friday, Pimco’s Mohamed El-Erian referenced one of our recent charts showing the dramatic divergence between Treasury yields and stocks, which he said “this (simple yet powerful) chart from @zerohedge warrants a PhD thesis in Finance.” This (simple yet powerful) chart from @zerohedge warrants a PhD thesis in #Finance #stocks #bonds #markets pic.twitter.com/w61rDBFkPT — Mohamed […]

Goldman Asks If Yellen Has Lost Control Of The Market, Warns Of Fed “Policy Shock”

Just hours after the Fed’s March “dovish” rate hike, when stocks paradoxically surged to all time highs and yields tumbled, Goldman found something strange: “surprisingly, financial markets took the meeting as a large dovish surprise—the third-largest at an FOMC meeting since 2000 outside the financial crisis, based on the co-movement of different asset prices.” Even […]

Still Confused About Trump’s 1-Page Tax Plan? Goldman Explains It All

Since at its core, yesterday’s 1-page “tax plan” was a Goldman creation – and was presented to the world by two former Goldman employees –  who better to explain what Trump had in mind than Goldman Sachs itself, which it did overnight in a far lengthier note from its chief Washington analyst Alec Phillips.  Here […]

Weekend Reading: Just Buy Everything

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, On Wednesday, as I discussed yesterday, the Fed hiked rates and despite the fact that hiking interest rates further tightens monetary policy, thereby reducing liquidity to the markets, the markets rallied anyway. With the hopes of accelerated earnings recovery being muted by falling oil prices, higher borrowing costs, and […]

“This Is Not The Reaction The Fed Wanted”: Goldman Warns Yellen Has Lost Control Of The Market

With stocks soaring briskly around the globe following Yellen’s “dovish” hike, and futures set for a sharply higher open with the Nasdaq approaching 6,000, something surprising caught our attention: in a note by Goldman’s Jan Hatzius, the chief economist warns that the market is overinterpreting the Fed’s statement, and Yellen’s presser, and cautions that it […]

RBC: “The Fed Is Now Forced To Walk Back The Market’s Incorrect Dovish Interpretation”

First, it was Goldman’s chief economist Jan Hatzius, who in a fascinating note explained why the market has totally misread the Fed’s tightening intentions, claiming the market surge is “not the reaction the Fed wanted”, alleging that the market’s dramatic “easing” response was “not the outcome the FOMC aimed for” and concluding that “at the […]