Silver as an investment

Category Archives: "Jobless Claims"

Key Events In The Coming Week: Jobs, Brexit, PMI, IP And More

The first full week of December is shaping up as rather busy, with such Tier 1 data in the US as the payrolls report, durable goods orders and trade balance. We also get UK PMI data and GDP, retail sales across the Euro Area, as well as central bank meetings including Australia RBA and BoC […]

Payrolls Preview: Here Comes The Post-Hurricane Surge

Submitted by RanSquawk The BLS will release the October Employment Report at 08:30am ET on Friday, November 3.  The Street is looking for a veritable surge in hiring following the hurricane-related disruption last month sent monthly payrolls to the first negative print in 7 years. Analysts also expect wage growth to continue rising: Median forecasts […]

Previewing The September “Hurricane-Disrupted” Jobs Report

Tomorrow’s hurricane-affected September jobs report will be… confusing. That is the (lack of) consensus from Wall Street analysts, who expect an average print of 80,000 (down from the 3-month average of 185K), however with huge variance on either side, with 4 economists predicting a loss of jobs, three expecting a print higher than 150K and […]

June Payrolls Preview: With The Fed On Autopilot, You Can Skip This One

After a poor March jobs report, followed by an April scorcher, then another debacle in May, the June payrolls report due at 8:30am will be… very much irrelevant, because as Citi pointed out earlier, the Fed is now data-independent and will keep hiking until financial conditions finally tighten (read: stocks drop). In other words, with […]

Initial Jobless Claims Jump Most In 5 Months; Higher Since Trump’s Election

The last two weeks have seen initial jobless claims rise 23k to 257k. This is the biggest 2-week rise since Thanksgiving last year and is back above the Trump election levels and the start of 2017 levels.   This is a four-week high but could perhaps be impacted by the holiday during the most recent […]

Initial Jobless Claims Surge Most In 10 Months

This trend does not appear to be your friend. Initial Jobless Claims are unchanged since February 2016 after today’s 18k spike to 258k. The last 3 weeks have seen a 15% surge in claims – the biggest spike since May 2016 (and before that since Dec 2013).   One wonders how this is possible in […]

Key Events In The Coming Week: All Eyes On Payrolls

The key economic release this week is the employment report on Friday, which as Janet Yellen noted in her speech on Friday, is the only economic event (together perhaps with the CPI report on April 15), that could potentially derail a now practically guaranteed rate hike. Following a slew of hawkish Fed commentary throughout last […]

Initial Jobless Claims Collapse To Lowest In 44 Years / by Tyler Durden / Mar 2, 2017 Initial jobless claims plunged 19k last week to 223k. This is now the lowest level of initial jobless claims since March 1973, and is very close to the lowest levels since 1969. READ MORE The post Initial Jobless Claims Collapse To Lowest In 44 Years appeared first on […]

Narrative Breaks – Continuing Jobless Claims Soar Most Since 2009 Following Trump’s Election / by Tyler Durden / Dec 29, 2016 This does not fit with the narrative. Continuing Jobless Claims are up over 6% in the weeks following Donald Trump’s election… *** This is the biggest surge since May 2009… READ MORE The post Narrative Breaks – Continuing Jobless Claims Soar Most Since 2009 Following Trump’s Election appeared […]

Initial Jobless Claims Collapse To Lowest In 43 Years – The US Economy Fell Into Recession Immediately After

After an ugly October, November has seen two straight weeks of improvements in initial jobless claims (plunging 11.6%, 31k – the most since Jan 2015 – to 235k).   This is the lowest initial jobless claims since Nov 1973…    The US Economy fell into recession the next month. Futhermore, Continuing Claims plunged the lowest […]