Silver as an investment

Category Archives: leverage

Saudi Wealth Fund Aims To Double AUM To $400 Billion By 2020 – Discovers Leverage Boosts Returns

Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund, a key engine of the kingdom’s plan to diversify the economy, on Wednesday laid out new targets for growth, saying it aims to nearly double the value of assets it manages to around $400 billion by 2020. That sum includes the expected proceeds from the planned initial public offering of […]

The Cost Of Market Crash Insurance Just Hit A Record High

With the VIX surging, and then quickly getting pummeled on two occasions in the past three weeks, dizzy traders could be forgiven to assume that any latent “risk off” threat, whether from North Korea or the US political front, has been taken off the table. However, a deeper look inside the vol surface reveals something […]

Fed’s Kaplan Admits Stock Valuations Are Elevated, But He’s Not Worried For One Reason

There were two explicit warnings about stock market valuations in the latest Fed Minutes: first, the Fed warned that “vulnerabilities associated with asset valuation pressures had edged up from notable to elevated, as asset prices remained high or climbed further, risk spreads narrowed, and expected and actual volatility remained muted in a range of financial […]

“Why Does Extraordinarily Low Volatility Matter” Baupost Explains…

With elites increasingly sounding the alarm about the state of the stock market, and various market participants fearing the complacency is masking the fragility of the market's true character; it is no surprise that Baupost's recently named President and Head of Public Investments, Jim Mooney, has joined the chorus. While Mooney (and Klarman's) warning regarding […]

FOMC Minutes Show “Divided” Fed Fearful Of High Asset Prices, Low Inflation

Having hiked in June amid gravely disappointing macro-economic data, all eyes are now on the minutes for inflation (weakness blamed on "idiosyncratic factors"), labor market (concerns about "sustained employment undershoot"), balance sheet normalization (Fed "divided" over when to start), and market valuation concerns ("equity market high on standard metrics"). Rate hike odds for Sept (22%) […]

LTCM Is Back: One Hedge Fund Uses 25x Leverage To Beat The Market

Before we start, a little history lesson… At the beginning of 1998, Long-Term Capital Managementhad equity of $4.72 billion and had borrowed over $124.5 billion with assets of around $129 billion, for a debt-to-equity ratio of over 25 to 1.   It was run by finance veterans, PhDs, professors, and two Nobel Prize winners. Everyone […]

Citi: “We Have Only Seen This Market Anomaly Twice Before: In 1999 And 2006”

With one bank after another – including Goldman, JPM and BofA – quietly urging investors in recent weeks to head for the exits in a time when the Fed is not only hiking rates but warning about “vulnerabilities from elevated asset positions“, over the weekend the latest bank to join the bearish chorus was Citi, […]

Deutsche Bank Tumbles Most In 5 Weeks After Earnings Disappoint Across The Board

On the surface, Deutsche Bank’s results this morning came in better than expected with first quarter earnings more than doubling as Germany’s biggest bank benefited from a pick-up in market activity at the start of the year. In the three months to March, Deutsche managed to make a net profit of €575m, more than double […]

What’s A Money-Losing Company Worth?

Via ConvergEx's Nicholas Colas, All the chatter about one recent IPO got us thinking about an underappreciated question: “How exactly should you value a money losing company?”  In a former life as an auto analyst, I covered a lot of loss-making companies, and there are basically 5 types of cash burners.  Four represent potentially good […]

Why Deutsche Bank Is Sliding After Its Massive Equity Offering: Wall Street Analysts Chime In

Despite its widely telegraphed $8.5 billion public offering with another $2 billion expected to be raised from asset sales, Germany’s biggest lender is down sharply this morning as much as 6.9% (currently 6.1% lower) as Wall Street analysts dig through the details of the bank’s latest massive restructuring, which as reported yesterday seeks to undo […]