Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Market Timing

11 Of 19 Bear Market Indicators Have Now Been Triggered: BofA

Two weeks ago, Bank of America tripped recession-watcher alarms, when it announced out that one of its surest bear-market indicators, one which has never had a false negative, had just been triggered. As we said at the time, according to BofA’s Savita Subramanian in November the S&P 500’s three-month earnings estimate revision ratio (ERR) fell […]

One Of Bank of America’s “Guaranteed Bear Market” Indicators Was Just Triggered

It is undisputed that the last 2 quarters have demonstrated an impressive jump in corporate earnings growth, if mostly due to a beneficial base effect from plunging 2016 earnings which pushed them below levels reached in 2014. And naturally, this rebound has been more than priced into a market which has seen substantial multiple expansion […]

Mauldin: The Bonfire Burns On

Authored by John Mauldin via MauldinEconomics.com, “Life invests itself with inevitable conditions, which the unwise seek to dodge, which one and another brags that he does not know, that they do not touch him; but the brag is on his lips, the conditions are in his soul. If he escapes them in one part they […]

“Investing Is Not A Competition… It’s A Game Of Long-Term Survival”

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Melt-Up Gains Traction Back in November, just following the election of President Trump, I wrote about the market entering into potentially the final “melt-up” phase of the cyclical bull market. However, while economic and fundamental realities HAVE NOT changed since the election, markets are pricing in expected impacts of changes […]

Exactly How Many Warnings Do You Need?

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, When I was growing up my father, probably much like yours, had pearls of wisdom that he would drop along the way. It wasn’t until much later in life that I learned that such knowledge did not come from books, but through experience. One of my favorite pieces of […]

The Stock Market Is Like Yellowstone: “It’s Beautiful, But It Has A Volcano Underneath It”

Authored by Mac Slavo via SHTFplan.com, Anyone putting money in the stock market at this point should have their head examined. The fact that the stock market had reached a record high for the ninth day in a row should be enough for any rational person to see that we’re in a bubble of massive […]

Weekend Reading – Are Stocks Really The Great “Wealth” Equalizer?

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Just recently, the New York Post a very interesting article entitled “Millennials should start taking stocks seriously.” While I am sure the author is well-intentioned, it is a very misguided article in its assumptions. The author jumps right in with both feet: “Many millennials are missing the chance to accumulate significant assets.” […]

13 Truths About How Money Really Works

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, There is an increasing amount of commentary which suggests this time is different. Active management of portfolios is no longer needed, as Central Banks continue to be supportive of the markets, so join in on the “passive indexing” sweeping the country. Of course, such commentary has always the case near the peak […]

The Chart That’s Keeping Goldman Up At Night

The spread between “hard” and “soft”, or survey and sentiment data, ever since the election has been extensively noted and discussed on this website in recent months (especially since over the past two months the soft data has rolled decisively over, while the Citi economic surprise index has crashed at the fastest pace on record). […]

Trump’s Top Econ Guy Just ANNIHILATED the Market’s Growth Fantasy

The single biggest story this morning is Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin pouring ice-cold water on the market’s mania. Since Trump was elected November 8th 2016, the market has gone almost straight up on the notion that an economic utopia has arrived and that GDP growth of 5% (yes, CNBC ran numerous stories on this) was […]