Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Market trend

11 Of 19 Bear Market Indicators Have Now Been Triggered: BofA

Two weeks ago, Bank of America tripped recession-watcher alarms, when it announced out that one of its surest bear-market indicators, one which has never had a false negative, had just been triggered. As we said at the time, according to BofA’s Savita Subramanian in November the S&P 500’s three-month earnings estimate revision ratio (ERR) fell […]

Everyone In The (Stock Market) Pool?

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, The percentage of households’  financial assets currently invested in stocks has jumped to levels exceeded only by the 2000 bubble. Updating one of our favorite data series from the Federal Reserve’s latest Z.1 Release, we see that in the 3rd quarter, household and nonprofit’s stock holdings jumped to 36.3% of their […]

One Of Bank of America’s “Guaranteed Bear Market” Indicators Was Just Triggered

It is undisputed that the last 2 quarters have demonstrated an impressive jump in corporate earnings growth, if mostly due to a beneficial base effect from plunging 2016 earnings which pushed them below levels reached in 2014. And naturally, this rebound has been more than priced into a market which has seen substantial multiple expansion […]

Stock Market Acceleration Reaches Terminal Stage

Via KesslerCompanies.com, Secular stock-market bullish trends tend to accelerate as they mature. The last three big bull moves in the Dow Jones Industrial Average look very similar and suggest a near-term major correction. See below: DotCom Bubble: Global Financial Crisis: 'Everything' Bubble:   It's different this time though.

The ‘Junkie’ Market Is Back

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, The past few days have seen a reversal from substantial net New lows to substantial net New highs – a condition that has preceded poor performance in the past. We’ve posted several pieces in the past regarding what we’ve termed “Junkie Markets” – junctures characterized by a substantial number of both […]

It’s A ‘Turkey’ Market

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, With Thanksgiving week rapidly approaching, I thought it was an apropos time to discuss what I am now calling a “Turkey” market. What’s a “Turkey” market?  Nassim Taleb summed it up well in his 2007 book “The Black Swan.” “Consider a turkey that is fed every day. Every single […]

Great Voids Have A Way Of Filling

Authored by Sven Henrich via NorthmanTrader.com, I feel compelled to keep documenting reality to raise awareness of the ever larger market dangers which keep lurking underneath the current bubble. Indeed I keep seeing a great void not only in awareness but also in price discovery that have propelled markets to current levels leaving investors and […]

“Investing Is Not A Competition… It’s A Game Of Long-Term Survival”

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Melt-Up Gains Traction Back in November, just following the election of President Trump, I wrote about the market entering into potentially the final “melt-up” phase of the cyclical bull market. However, while economic and fundamental realities HAVE NOT changed since the election, markets are pricing in expected impacts of changes […]

“Most Hated” Rally Getting Record Love

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, A recent reading in one broad measure of consumer stock market sentiment was among the most bullish in history. Perma-bulls like to label this bull market the “most hated” in history. While the rally is historic by some metrics, the “most hated” status, to the degree that it was ever applicable, […]

Homebuilder Stocks Surge To Bubble Highs, There’s Just One Thing…

A key index of housing stocks has finally made it back to the highs of last decade’s bubble. As Dana Lyons explains, one of the, in some ways surprising, achievements of the current bull market in stocks has been its ability to resuscitate former busted bubble sectors once left for dead. For example, early this […]