Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Mathematical finance

Mauldin: “Investors Ignore What May Be The Biggest Policy Error In History”

Submitted by John Mauldin My good friend Peter Boockvar recently shared a chart with me. The University of Michigan’s Surveys of Consumers have been tracking consumers and their expectations about the direction of the stock market over the next year. We are now at an all-time high in the expectation that the stock market will […]

In The Shadows Of Black Monday – “Volatility Isn’t Broken… The Market Is”

Authored by Christopher Cole via Artemis Capital Management, Volatility and the Alchemy of Risk The Ouroboros, a Greek word meaning ‘tail devourer’, is the ancient symbol of a snake consuming its own body in perfect symmetry. The imagery of the Ouroboros evokes the infinite nature of creation from destruction. The sign appears across cultures and […]

No Vol And No Volume – Even The WSJ Questions Equity Melt-Up

It’s encouraging to see that one mainstream media outlet questioning the recent market melt-up which wasn’t just notable for the lack of volatility, but also a severe lack of volume. The new normal seems to be “No vol and no volume”, although we saw a bit of a regime shift today, before the normal reversal. […]

The Last Time Stocks Were This Calm, England Won The World Cup

1966 was a big year… Miranda Rights came into being in America, Vietnam War protests raged, the US department of Transportation was created, the mini skirt was invented, Batman and Star Trek debuts, NASA launches Lunar Orbiter 1 – the first U.S. spacecraft to orbit the Moon, race riots raged in Atlanta, Ronald Reagan entered […]

Small-Caps Seeing Historic Squeeze

For the last month we have been noting a dramatic divergence between Small Cap stock prices and their implied risk… We can only remember one such lengthy decoupling in recent history, and that did not end well… And of course this is all occurring as Small Cap earnings expectations plunge…   But now, as Dana […]

Black Monday 2.0: The Next Machine-Driven Meltdown

Authord by Ben Levisohn via Barrons, In the rise of computer-driven trading, some hear echoes of the stock market’s 1987 crash. Beware the feedback loop… Black Monday. Although the event to which those two words refer occurred 30 years ago, they still carry the weight of that day—Oct. 19, 1987—when the Dow Jones Industrial Average […]

“Black Swan” Anxiety Has Never Been Higher

The Fed's Williams warns that they "don't want there to be excesses in financial markets… " Two quick things… The market has almost never been this expensive… As Peter Boockvar warns: "Almost there. S&P 500 price to sales ratio is just 4% from March 2000 peak." And investors have never been more concerned about 'black […]

S&P Surges To Longest Record-High Streak In 20 Years As Dollar Spikes

Despite a slump in consumer confidence, stocks just keep on chugging higher…   Another Day, Another Record High – S&P up 8 days in a row (longest win streak in 4 years) and 6 record highs in a row (longest streak since 1997) and today was the best day in a month… VIX traded as […]

Kolanovic: “This Is What The Next Crisis Will Look Like”

There are two distinct parts to the latest, just released research note from JPM's quant "wizard" Marko Kolanovic. In the first part, the infamous predictor of market swoons takes on an unexpectedly cheerful demeanor, and explains why contrary to his recent market outlooks, near-term risks for a market selloff appear to have abated. First, he […]

It Has Never Been Cheaper To Hedge A Market Crash Using This One Trade

In mid-August, at the height of the North Korea geopolitical turbulence, and amid uncertainty about the Fed balance sheet unwind, fears of a government shutdown and the US debt ceiling, as well as the fate of Trump tax reform and Obamacare repeal, when the VIX soared following a series of missile launches by Kim Jong […]