Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Mathematical finance

Stocks, Dollar, Bond Yields Tumble As GOP Leaders ‘Not Confident” They Have Votes

House leaders are reportedly mulling next steps if the health bill does not pas as GOP leaders are not confident that they have the votes to pass. The reaction in stocks was very fast… Stocks are fading fast to yesterday's lows and VIX is surging   10Y Yield dropped below 2.40%…   And the Dallar […]

5 Financial Myths You Should Ignore

Authored by Richard Rosso via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, The financial terrain is strewn with robust fables cleverly disguised as facts. The setbacks to financial security due to stock market returns never realized, the precious time and human capital necessary to make up for market losses, the ingenious data-mining undertaken by populist gurus that want you to believe […]

Will Yesterday’s Market Selloff Turn “Emotional”: Here Are The Key Indicators RBC Is Looking At

Yesterday’s sharp S&P selloff, the largest of 2017, and the first time the market dropped by more than 1% in 110 trading days, may be just the beginning: that is the troubling thesis presented by JPM’s quant Marko Kolanovic, who as we quoted yesterday, warned that “following Friday’s option expiry, the gamma imbalance shifted towards […]

Bank Stocks Stumble To 1-Month Lows As Yield Curve Slumps Post-Fed

Not sure why but this seemed appropriate after listening to the drivel from Washington (and Fed speakers) all day…   Bonds and Bullion the big winners post-Fed…   There were 3 notable legs lower in stocks today… The catalysts seemed to be 1335ET – *EVANS SEES MORE UPSIDE POSSIBILITY IN UNCERTAINTY FACING FED, THIS IS […]

Stocks Sink On ‘Quad Witch’ As Dollar Suffers Worst Week In 8 Months

One. Big. Squeeze…   It was quite a week for 'uncertainty' as Europe's VIX crashed to record lows, and FX and Rate vols plunged after the Fed move and Dutch elections…   Small Caps were the week's biggest winners (and Trannies the losers)… The Dow clung to the week's gains   Financials had the 2nd […]

1.4 Trillion Reasons Why Today’s ‘Quad Witch’ Could Matter

In 2015, options expirations mattered – stocks would tear higher into the event and like clockwork sink back lower after. 2016 was not so obvious but the all-important 'quad-witch' expirations still had some bias. However, if JPMorgan's equity derivative strategists are right, today's 'quad-witch'  – with $1.4 trillion worth of S&P 500 notional set to […]

Kolanovic: We Expect “Near-Term Market Weakness; Suggest Reducing US Equities”

First Goldman, then RBC, and now JPM’s top quant. One month after JPM’s head quant Marko Kolanovic warned that volatility is about to return and could lead to “accidents”, the market timer also called “Gandalf” elsewhere for his prognosticative skills is out with a fresh warning, predicting “market weakness in the near-term” adding that he […]

RBC: “The Fed Is Now Forced To Walk Back The Market’s Incorrect Dovish Interpretation”

First, it was Goldman’s chief economist Jan Hatzius, who in a fascinating note explained why the market has totally misread the Fed’s tightening intentions, claiming the market surge is “not the reaction the Fed wanted”, alleging that the market’s dramatic “easing” response was “not the outcome the FOMC aimed for” and concluding that “at the […]

It’s Never Been Cheaper To Hedge Highly Speculative Tech Companies

While many have noticed the demise of volatility in the US equity markets – 104 days without a 1% drop, plunge in VIX, record low monthly ranges – it is the most highly speculative and most over-valued companies that appear to be the biggest beneficiaries of peak animal spirits. It has never been cheaper to […]

Risk Parity Plunge Continues: Stocks Down, Bonds Down, VIX Down, Fed Up

There's a lot of risk assets falling apart behind the scenes…   The ongoing plunge in Risk Parity fund deleveraging…   Is now weighing on more asset classes as Stocks, Bonds, and VIX all drop (ahead of The Fed on Wednesday)   And EM stocks, crude, high yield bonds are all tumbling…   The S&P […]