Silver as an investment

Category Archives: National Bureau of Economic Research

We Are Already In Depression (If Borrowing Money Is Not Income)

Via Baker & Company Advisory Group, The U.S. economy is not as solid as it appears. Statistical anomalies hide profound weakness. I will examine actual GDP and actual employment. Warning: not for the faint of heart. Do you consider debt as income? Before you answer that, let’s perform a thought experiment. Imagine that you had taken […]

The Working Class Can’t Afford The American Dream

For millions of middle- and working-class Americans, the "American Dream" is all but dead.  Far from being able to afford their own homes, the Fed’s latest survey on the wellbeing of US households revealed that nearly a quarter of Americans are unable to pay their monthly bills on time, and nearly half have less than […]

An Indicator Of Peril

Authored by 720Global's Michael Lebowitz, via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Thanks to Jesse Felder, we recently stumbled upon a measure of economic conditions that has reliably signaled every recession since 1948. The data point, Real Value Added, is currently in negative territory and may, therefore, be a harbinger of an economic downturn.  If it is a false signal, […]

Do Wars Help or HURT the Economy?

Does Defense Spending Stimulate the Economy and Create Jobs … Or Is It BAD for the Economy? Preface: Trump wants to drastically increase military spending.  At the same time, France, China, Japan and other countries are ramping up their military spending. An understanding of the effect on the economy is therefore timely. A number of […]

The Hope For A “Greater Fool”

Submitted by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Last week Frank Chaparro penned an interesting note: “It looks like this bull market just won’t quit. Friday marked the 2,003rd trading day since the stock market rally began back in 2009, making it even longer than the bull market that preceded the 1929 crash.   And since President […]

Peter Schiff Warns “Trump Deficits Will Be Yuuge”: What That Means For Gold & The Dollar

Submitted by Peter Schiff via Euro Pacific Capital, There is much we don’t know about how the Trump presidency will play out. Will the Wall get built? Who will pay for it? Will it have at least some fencing? Will repeal and replace happen at exactly the same time? Will Trump throw a ceremonial switch? […]