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Category Archives: Politics of France

Visualizing The Possible City Of London ‘Brexodus’

The EU in Brussels has now given official powers to its top Brexit negotiator, but former French diplomat Michel Barnier is not expected to begin talks until after the UK general election in June. As Statista's Dyfed Loesche notes, Banks and financial institutions are already preparing for the world after Brexit and planning to pull some of […]

“Zumutungen!” Buyer’s Remorse In France, Impossible Situation For Germany

Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com, Now that the cheering over the French election has died down, reality will strike France and Germany like a cold bucket of water thrown in one’s face on a Winter’s day. Germany was guaranteed to not like the result no matter who won. The final choice was between an anti-EU […]

Emmanuel Macron Elected Youngest Ever President Of France With 65% Of The Vote

Update: As Emmanuel Macron arrived in the courtyard of Paris’s Louvre museum to deliver his victory speech to thousands of supporters, the European Union’s anthem “Ode to Joy” played in the background. “Tonight, France won,” he said to rapturous crowds, adding that “Europe and the world are watching us.” Macron said, cited by the Telegraph, […]

Belgian Press: Macron Has Between 63% And 64% Of The Vote

While French pollsters and poli-pundits are prohibited from providing “hot-takes” or preliminary exit-polls ahead of the closing of polls at 8pm local time, the Belgian press is not similarly constrained, and according to L’Echo, citing early exit polls, Macron would win the vote with between 63% and 64% of the vote, while empty ballots would […]

France: What Is The Presidential Campaign Really About?

Authored by Yves Manou via The Gatestone Institute, The result of this mess is that France as one country no longer exists. People who voted for Le Pen seem to feel not only that they lost their jobs, but that they are becoming foreigners in their own country. Macron, for many analysts, is the candidate […]

Le Pen Names Nationalist As Prime Minister In Last Minute Bid To Boost Votes

With one week to go until the runoff round in the French presidential elections, Marine Le Pen – materially lagging her rival Macron according to daily polls – on Saturday chose defeated first-round candidate Nicolas Dupont-Aignan as her prime minister, in a last-minute attempt to court his voters and help her defeat her opponent. “As […]

“This Is A Monumental Change”: Citi Asks If This Is The “End Of Two Party System In France”

With events in France developing fast and furious, and with Le Pen either leading (for now) according to official French ministry data, or in second place according to exit polls, Citi’s Fraser King asks: “Is this the end of the two-party system in France.” More from Citi: If results stay as polls suggest, with Le […]

Macron, Le Pen Take Lead In French Presidential Election: Live Feed

Update 2:43pm ET: Francois Fillon concedes, saying “this defeat is mine, and mine alone”, although as Bloomberg notes, “Fillon is still bitter, though, about the investigative journalism and resulting criminal investigation, that torpedoed his campaign.” Oh, and like all of the French political establishment, he endorses Emmanuel Macron. BREAKING: Defeated French conservative Fillon calls on […]

“The Nightmare Scenario” And Everything Else: The Full French Election Matrix

Yesterday, we presented a Deutsche Bank research report which tried to evaluate whether, despite polls suggesting otherwise, a Le Pen-Melenchon first round victory was possible in the French election this coming Sunday. In a surprising break from the conventional wisdom, this is what DB concluded: Melenchon’s rise in the polls has been one of the […]

Still More Tightening In French Polls

Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com, A week ago, French polls had tightened to the point where any combination of candidates could make it to the final round. The polls are now so tight that at least one upset is arguably likely. A mere two points separate Marine Le Pen from both François Fillon and […]