Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Real interest rate

Morgan Stanley: These Are The 5 Cs That Will Shape 2018

Morgan Stanley’s Chetan Ahya, global co-head of economics, who undeterred by Morgan Stanley’s dire credit outlook, is especially optimistic about the coming year, and in today’s Sunday Start writes that the bank’s key call for 2018 is that “the global cycle will stay stronger for longer” and explains that his constructive view is borne out […]

The Big Reversal: Inflation And Higher Interest Rates Are Coming Our Way

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog, This interaction will spark a runaway feedback loop that will smack asset valuations back to pre-bubble, pre-pyramid scheme levels. According to the conventional economic forecast, interest rates will stay near-zero essentially forever due to slow growth. And since growth is slow, inflation will also remain neutral. This […]

Gold Price Reacts as Central Banks Start Major Change

Gold Price Reacts as Central Banks Start Major Change – Bank of England raised interest rates for the first time in ten years– President Trump announces Jerome Powell as his choice to lead the U.S. Federal Reserve– Most investors outside the US Dollar and Euro see gold prices climb after busy week of central bank news– […]

Fed’s Kaplan Makes A Stark Admission: Equilibrium Rate May Be As Low As 0.25%

As we have hammered away at for years, “the math doesn’t work”, and it appears The Fed just admitted it. In a stunning admission that i) US economic potential is lower than consensus assumes and ii) that the Fed is finally considering the gargantuan US debt load in its interest rate calculations, moments ago the […]

“So What Did We Learn From Yellen?”: Deutsche, Goldman Explain

For those still unsure what Yellen’s rambling, disjointed press conference meant yesterday, or are still in shock over the Fed’s admitted confusion by the “mystery” that is inflation, here is a quick recap courtesy of Deutsche Bank and Goldman, explaining what we (probably) learned from the Fed and Yellen yesterday. First, here is DB’s Jim […]

Did you see this unbelievable front page news?

Via The Daily Bell Sovereign Valley Farm, Chile A few weeks ago the Board of Trustees of Social Security sent a formal letter to the United States Senate and House of Representatives to issue a dire warning: Social Security is running out of money. Given that tens of millions of Americans depend on this public pension program […]

BofA: “The Longer This Continues, The More The Current Regime Echoes 2004-2007”

There is no getting away from it: in what has become a long-running tradition, every day brings a new explanation (or at least attempt) to the current low-vol regime from a major bank, and today it was (again) Bank of America’s turn to explain why the VIX, and cross asset vol in general, both continue […]

“What If”: Citi Models A World Where The Fed Hikes All The Way To 3%

It is becoming increasingly apparent that the Fed, now data-independent, has just one mandate: keep hiking interest rates until markets break. That is the conclusion of Citi’s Jeremy Hale, who writes that the FOMC minutes pointed to a view that financial conditions had eased despite the previous Fed hikes because equities had rallied and corporate […]

Draghi did not expect THIS market reaction

The markets weren’t really expecting ECB president Mario Draghi to announce or say anything ‘shocking’ last week, but it’s now starting to look like Mr Draghi and Mr Carney, the President of the Bank of England (the Central Bank in Great Britain) have had several discussions in the past few days and weeks to make […]

RBC Explains The Market’s Sudden Regime Shift

There's a clear change in the air as growth stocks are pummeled, bond yields spike, and central bankers wax hawkish. Here is RBC's head of cross-asset strategy Charlie McElligott to explain what's happening… The selloff in USTs & duration / concurrent ‘bear steepening’ is further-set to act as an ‘accelerant’ on both my equities ‘rotation’ […]