Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Recession

Is A Recession Looming? Low Unemployment And Declining Treasury Curve Occur Just Before Recessions (And Lousy Wage Growth)

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Anthony B Sanders via Snake Hole Lounge / December 11, 2017 US Real GDP is growing at 2.3% YoY.  What’s not to like? How about the lowest unemployment rate since 2000 and the worst wage “recovery” in modern times? AND a flattening Treasury yield curve? Yes, we are once more staring into the abyss of a recession […]

Treasury Forecasts Tax Reform Will Lead To Longest Period Without Recession In History

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Dec 11, 2017 12:05 PM One week ago, in its latest assessment of the current state of tax reform in the aftermath of the Senate’s passage of the tax bill, Goldman analysts calculated that while growth impact from tax reform had increased fractionally to around 0.3% in 2018 and 2019 “reflecting the slightly larger amount of […]

David Stockman Lashes Out At Mainstream Media’s “Peak Fantasy Time”

Authored by David Stockman via Contra Corner blog, If you want to know why both Wall Street and Washington are so delusional about America's baleful economic predicament, just consider this morsel from yesterday's Wall Street Journal on the purportedly awesome November jobs report. Wages rose just 2.5% from a year earlier in November – near the same lackluster […]

Weekend Reading: Recession Risk Hidden In Tax Bill

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Since the election, equity bulls have been pinning their hopes on “tax cuts” as the needed injection to support currently elevated stock prices. Stocks have advanced sharply since the election on these expectations, and while earnings have recovered, primarily due to the rise in oil prices, whatever economic growth […]

Axel Merk’s 2018 Outlook: “What Can Possibly Go Wrong?”

Authored by Axel Merk via MerkInvestments.com, With the stock market and Bitcoin reaching all-time highs, what can possibly go wrong? In offering my thoughts on 2018, I see my role in reminding investors to stress test their portfolios. Is your portfolio built of straw, sticks or brick? First, let me allege many investors have portfolios […]

“One Day Soon, The Sun Will Not Rise”

Authored by Chris Hamilton via Econimica blog, When the Q4 US resident population data is released, something that has not happened in the post WWII era will take place.   The population of adults aged 15-64 years old will decline.  This was not supposed to happen and will put an end to seven plus decades of continuous population growth […]

CME Unveils “Weirdest Chart Ever”

Authored by Erik Norland via CME Group, We freely admit: Figure 1 is probably the strangest chart that you will ever see, at least in finance.  You may be wondering: did they throw blue spaghetti noodle on paper for inspiration and then write an economics article about it?  Or, have they spent too much time […]

The Complete Idiot’s Guide To Being An Idiot

Authored by MN Gordon via EconomicPrism.com, There are many things that could be said about the GOP tax bill.  But one thing is certain.  It has been a great show. Obviously, the time for real solutions to the debt problem that’s ailing the United States came and went many decades ago.  Instead of addressing the […]

Stockman: “Bitcoin Is The Poster-Boy For An Unhinged Financial System”

Authored by David Stockman via Contra Corner blog, The lemmings are now in full stampede toward the cliffs. You can literally hear the cold waters churning, foaming and crashing on the boulders far below. From bitcoin to Amazon, the financials, the Russell 2000 and most everything else in between, the casinos are digesting no information except the price […]

BMO Sees Risk Of Curve Inverting “As Early As March 2018”

Over the weekend, we published an analysis from Citigroup looking at how long after the yield curve inverts do investors “have to worry.”  The results were interesting: as Citi wrote, while sometimes inversion provides a timely signal for the economic cycle a la 2000, “where Professor Curve predicted almost the ding-dong high in the SPX”, […]