Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Skew

“Black Swan” Anxiety Has Never Been Higher

The Fed's Williams warns that they "don't want there to be excesses in financial markets… " Two quick things… The market has almost never been this expensive… As Peter Boockvar warns: "Almost there. S&P 500 price to sales ratio is just 4% from March 2000 peak." And investors have never been more concerned about 'black […]

SocGen Says “Reduce Risk”: Hedge Funds Have Never Been This Short The VIX

Earlier this week, in the latest observations of broad market complacency, we pointed out that the VIX has remained heavily subdued in September – a month when volatility usually picks up – shrugging off rising geopolitical tension with North Korea, several destructive storms, and the Fed’s plan to normalize its balance sheet, while defying seasonal […]

The Cost Of Market Crash Insurance Just Hit A Record High

With the VIX surging, and then quickly getting pummeled on two occasions in the past three weeks, dizzy traders could be forgiven to assume that any latent “risk off” threat, whether from North Korea or the US political front, has been taken off the table. However, a deeper look inside the vol surface reveals something […]

How To Hedge A Near-Term Market Shock: Here Are The Best Trades

As we showed earlier today, last Thursday’s unexpected, historic VIX explosion, driven by a surge of geopolitical worries about North Korea, and subsequent collapse was remarkable in both how fast and furious it was both on the way up and then, on the way down.As Bank of America said “both the spike in vol and […]

Morgan Stanley: “Well, That Escalated Quickly”

“Well, that escalated quickly.” That’s how Morgan Stanley’s chief cross-asset strategist Andrew Sheets summarizes events in the last week in his latest Sunday Start note, in which he describes how following one of the calmest stretches for stocks since the 1960s, an escalating war of words with North Korea hit late summer markets priced for […]

As VIX Explodes, A Painful Warning: The Vega Of VIX ETFs Has Never Been Higher

With the VIX soaring, from single digits yesterday to over 15, risk is suddenly breaking out above the crucial Kolanovic redline level… And Nasdaq is tumbling. … it is worth reminding readers just how coiled the short-vol sector is, something we described two weeks ago in “If The VIX Goes Bananas” This Is What It […]

Anticipating “VIX Shock”, Interactive Brokers Raises Volatility Margins

Even as the VIX has continued to plumb new all time lows, unable to rebound from the realm of single-digits where it has spent a record amount of time in 2017, warnings about a potential surge in the volatility index have been growing in recent weeks. Last week, in a note looking at what may […]

9 Charts Showing Market Bears Are Waking Up

Just when you thought it was safe to stride safely through the forest of stock market investing (hey – banks, Trump, hope, reform, stimulus, earnings, and Trump again); the bears are coming out of hibernation… The calm in stocks worldwide is giving way to concern, as Bloomberg reports investors in Europe and the U.S. are […]