Silver as an investment

Category Archives: systemic risk

Who’s Next? Venezuela’s Collapse Puts These Nations At Risk

"It's a wake-up call for a lot of people who will say ‘Look, the stuff I own is actually very risky'…" warns Ray Jian, who oversees about $6 billion at Pioneer Investment Management Ltd. in London. "People have been ignoring risks in places like Lebanon for a long time," and the official default of Venezuela […]

Bill Blain: “Stock Markets Don’t Matter; The Great Crash Of 2018 Will Start In The Bond Market”

Blain’s Morning Porridge, Submitted by Bill Blain of Mint Partners The Great Crash of 2018? Look to the bond markets to trigger Mayhem! I had the impression the markets had pretty much battened down for rest of 2017 – keen to protect this year’s gains. Wrong again. It seems there is another up-step. After the […]

BOE Warns Weekly Fund Redemptions Of 1.3% Would Break Corporate Bond Market

The Bank of England has done some timely and truly eye-opening research into the resilience of corporate bond markets. The research is contained in the Bank of England Financial Stability Paper No.42 and is titled “Simulating stress across the financial system:  the resilience of corporate bond markets and the role of investment funds” by Yuliya […]

Venezuela Signs $3.2 Billion Debt Restructuring Deal With Russia

As Venezuela teeters right on the brink of complete financial collapse, Bloomberg reports that Russia has agreed to restructure roughly $3.2 billion in outstanding obligations.  While details of the restructuring agreement are scarce, both sides reported that the deal spreads payments out over 10 years with minimal cash service required over the next six years. […]

So Why Did Capital One “Suddenly” Exit Mortgage Lending??

Last week, Capital One Financial (COF) announced that is was formally withdrawing from the residential mortgage loan market.  Some observers mistook this announcement for news, thinking that COF had actually been engaged in residential lending in a serious way.  Housing Wire, for example, reported that COF had “suddenly” exited the mortgage and home equity business. […]

U.K. Litigation Cases On Defaulted Consumer Debts Soar Beyond 2008 Levels

Last month, S&P warned that UK lenders could incur £30 billion of losses on their consumer lending portfolios consisting of credit cards, personal and auto loans if interest rates and unemployment rose sharply.  Much like in the U.S., S&P warned that "loose monetary policy, cheap central bank term funding schemes and benign economic conditions" had […]

Stockman: US Entry Into World War I Was A Disaster

Authored by David Stockman via The Daily Reckoning, 103 years ago, in 1914, the Federal Reserve opened-up for business as the carnage in northern France was getting under way. And it brought to a close the prior magnificent half-century era of liberal internationalism and honest gold-backed money. The Great War was nothing short of a […]

PBOC’s Zhou Warns Of “Sudden, Complex, Hidden, Contagious, Hazardous” Risks In Global Markets

Just two weeks after warning of the potential for an imminent 'Minsky Moment', Chinese central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan has penned a lengthy article on The PBOC's website that warns ominously of latent risks accumulating, including some that are "hidden, complex, sudden, contagious and hazardous," even as the overall health of the financial system appears […]

“They’re Ba-ack!” – Citi Says Synthetic CDOs May Reach $100 Billion In 2017, 5x Increase In 2 Years

35-year-old Jia Chen of Citibank probably has no idea where that title quote above came from.  That’s because she was roughly 4 years old when Poltergeist II hit theaters back in 1986… …that said, Citibank, as we noted a few weeks back, has every confidence that Jia is the perfect person to put in charge […]

“What Happens When The Market Can No Longer Pretend”: Charting Today’s Minsky Moment Dynamics

Back in July, Deutsche Bank’s derivative strategist Aleksandar Kocic believed he had found the moment the market broke, which he defined as a terminal dislocation between market and economic policy uncertainty: as he wrote 4 months ago, it was some time in 2012 that markets “lost their capacity to deal with uncertainty.” It was also […]