Category Archives: systemic risk
Rising Interest Rates Starting To Bite
Submitted by Gary Evans of Global Macro Monitor We have long held that interest rates have been so low (especially real rates) that it will take some time to reach a level for them to really matter and impact markets. The 2-year yield crossing over the S&P500 dividend yield this past week for the first […]
Banks Demand 11th-hour Reprieve On Key Part Of MiFID II
The clock is ticking down and there are only about three weeks to go before the dreaded MiFID II regulatory structure is implemented on 3 January 2018. While it’s been difficult to judge the industry’s preparedness for the change, several aspects of the new regulations have attracted the most debate and concern. These have included […]
Global Deflation Alert: Chinese Credit Creation Tumbles To 27 Month Low
At the end of November, we showed a troubling observation for China – and global – macro watchers from Axiom’s Gordon Johnson: for the first time ever, record Chinese credit creation had failed to stimulate the economy, and in fact the exact opposite appeared to be unfolding – economic growth is slowing across a number […]
What Causes Asset Bubbles?
As we showed yesterday, the price of bitcoin has finally surpassed "Tulips" in the global bubble race. Overnight the former Bridgewater analysts Howard Wang and Robert Wu, who make up Convoy Investments, released their thoughts on what happens next… and most importantly, what causes asset bubbles… When we see a dramatic rise in asset prices, […]
IMF Stress Tests Find $280 Billion Black Hole In Chinese Banks’ Capital
The IMF released a new analysis on the instability stability of the Chinese financial system. Speaking to the media in an online briefing, some of the insights from Ratna Sahay, deputy director of the IMF’s Monetary and Capital Markets Department, hardly advanced our knowledge much. Sahay noted that “Risks are large. Having said that, the […]
Axel Merk’s 2018 Outlook: “What Can Possibly Go Wrong?”
Authored by Axel Merk via MerkInvestments.com, With the stock market and Bitcoin reaching all-time highs, what can possibly go wrong? In offering my thoughts on 2018, I see my role in reminding investors to stress test their portfolios. Is your portfolio built of straw, sticks or brick? First, let me allege many investors have portfolios […]