Silver as an investment

Category Archives: United States housing bubble

UBS Explains Why The Next Credit Unwind Will Be Unlike Anything We’ve Seen Before

Several weeks ago, Janet Yellen boldly declared “I don’t believe we will see another crisis in our lifetime.”  For the rest of us who live in reality there is little doubt that the latest Fed-fueled credit bubble will eventually burst in epic fashion and once again lay waste to the personal balance sheets of millions […]

Tesla Upsizes Junk Bond Offering After Excess Demand

There’s covenant-lite and then there’s “zero covenant” junk debt, and moments ago Tesla just sold $1.8 billion of the former, upsizing what was previously expected to be a $1.5 billion issue. The deeply junk “B3/B-” rated bond was priced at par to yield 5.25%, with Goldman – who famously slashed its Tesla price target to […]

The Madness Is Back: Homeowners Take Out Mortgages To Buy Bitcoin, Cars And Wine

It’s been about a decade since the term “mortgage arbitrage” made headlines. It’s back. In the clearest sign yet of just how late far the investing cycle the developed world finds itself, the FT writes that wealthy British homeowners are again borrowing against their property to invest in bonds, equities, alternative investments or commercial property […]

Toronto Housing Market Implodes: Prices Plunge Most On Record

Until mid 2017, it appeared that nothing could stop the Toronto home price juggernaut: And yet, In early May we wrote that “The Toronto Housing Market Is About To Collapse“, when we showed the flood of new home listings that had hit the market the market, coupled with an extreme lack of affordability, which as […]

Did the Sub-Prime 2.0 Bubble Just Burst?

As you know, we’ve been tracking the sub-prime auto-loan industry closely. Our view is that this industry represents the worst of the worst excesses of our current credit bubble, much as the subprime mortgage industry represented the worst of the worst in excess for the Housing Bubble. For this reason, we refer to sub-prime auto-loans […]

With LIBOR Dead, $400 Trillion In Assets Are Stuck In Limbo

In an unexpected announcement, earlier this week the U.K.’s top regulator, the Financial Conduct Authority which is tasked with overseeing Libor, announced that the world’s most important, and manipulated, benchmark rate will be phased out by 2021, catching countless FX, credit, derivative, and other traders by surprise because while much attention had been given to […]

What Bond Traders Are Most Worried About Right Now

The latest monthly survey of credit investors from Bank of America, released overnight, shows the same familiar paradox we have seen ever since the start of the year: most survey respondents are allegedly scared worried about geopolitics and a concerned that the market is a bubble, and yet at the same time, most are allocating […]

UBS Explains Who’s Most At Risk In The Next Consumer Deleveraging Cycle

In their 2Q 2017 survey, UBS found that, for the first time since at least 2014, the trajectory of financial health of low-income households has started to diverge from that of more affluent households.  Per the graph below from UBS’ credit strategy team led by Matthew Mish, while a firming job market has helped households […]

Canadians Brace For A “Perfect Storm” Brewing In Housing Market

We’ve spent a fair amount of time discussing Canada’s housing market over the past several months as Chinese money laundering operations have sprouted up bubbles all over the place.  Here’s a modest sampling of our recent work: All Hell Breaks Loose In Toronto’s House Price Bubble Canada’s Housing Bubble Explodes As Its Biggest Alternative Mortgage […]

It’s Not Just Americans, Europe’s New Obsession With Auto Leases Is “Catastrophic For Used Car Prices”

We’ve spent a lot of time of late writing about the pending collapse of the U.S. auto bubble.  When it comes, that collapse will, at least in part, be due to the fact that over the past 6 years, new leases, as a percent of overall car sales, have soared courtesy of, among other things, […]