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Category Archives: World oil market chronology from

Is Another Oil Head-Fake Coming?

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog, The dramatic declines in the costs of oil production will be boosting supply at the very moment that demand is falling. Over the past decade I've addressed what I call Head-Fakes in the cost of oil/fossil fuel: even though we know the cost of extracting and processing […]

Rig Count Rises By Just 2 As Goldman Expects Oil Market To Rebalance By Early 2018

With WTI heading for its best week since 2016, demand and inventory data is trumping production for now and today's Baker Hughes rig count data did nothing to change that as, following last week's 1 rig drop, producers only added 2 oil rigs in the last week to 766. *U.S. GAS RIG COUNT UP 6 […]

Junk Bonds Are Finally Starting To Care About Oil

Back in May, we pointed out an interesting observation made by Goldman: unlike late 2015 and most of 2016, when equities demonstrated surprising resilience to the swoon in oil prices, in 2017 OPEC’s failure to stabilize oil prices finally hit energy equities disproportionately.  As Goldman said in mid-May, discussing the latest crude oil selloff, which […]

“When The Facts Change”- Oil’s Biggest Cheerleader Capitulates: Andy Hall’s Full Bearish Letter

After years of being oil’s biggest cheerleader, “oil god” Andy Hall, who starting with the OPEC Thanksgiving massacre in 2014 has had several abysmal years, in the process losing the bulk of his AUM, finally threw in the towel last week when in a July 3 letter to investors, he admitted that “the facts have changed” […]

Is ‘Oil God’ Andy Hall The Latest Victim Of “Fake News”?

Raymond James' J. Marshall Adkins invoked one of President Trump's favorite phrases to explain oil's plunge, and to excuse his bullish bias (that crude can rise to as much as $65 a barrel). As Bloomberg notes, conventional wisdom holds that resilient U.S. shale drilling, underwhelming progress towards OPEC’s goal in slimming global oil inventories, and […]

WTI/RBOB Jump On Gaosline Draw As US Crude Production Tumbles Most Since August

Last night's unexpected API builds kneejerked prices lower but a weaker dollar helped levitate WTI/RBOB into the DOE print. While tropical depression Cindy may have affected the data, DOE reports a small build in crude (expectations for a draw) but all eyes were on gasoline which drew 894k, well below API's build levels and expectation […]

Citi: Here Comes The V-Shaped Rebound In Oil

Start buying oil. That’s not only this morning’s recommendation by Dennis Gartman but, as this afternoon, also Citi’s commodities team (led by OPEC’s impressario Ed Morse) which moments ago issued a report according to which crude oil markets will not only bottom, but more importantly, “investors should position now for a potential V-shaped rebound in […]

WTI Tumbles To $42, Brent Below $45 As Credit Crashes

High yield energy credit markets are in trouble again, with risk now at its highest level in 7 months. Despite this morning’s Iran-hyped OPEC bullshit and a small draw in Gasoline, it appears the reality of surging US shale production and lagging demand is weighing down oil (and gasoline) markets… Since OPEC announced its production […]

Shale Production Will Hit An All Time High Next Month… And That’s Just The Beginning

While the June oil production data is still pending, it is safe to say that the June oil output from US shale producers – estimated today by the EIA at 5.348mb/d – will post the first double-digit production growth since July of 2015, when oil prices tumbled and a substantial portion of US production was […]

Is $50 Oil Still Realistic?

With crude (and gasoline) prices doing nothing but tumble since OPEC announced its 'extension' deal, erasing all the hope-fuelled bounce off cycle lows, the question once again becomes, is $50 oil still realistic? Via OilPrice.com's Nick Cuningham, Oil prices have plunged back to levels not seen since OPEC announced its original production cut deal last […]