Silver as an investment

Category Archives: Yield Curve

Beware – The Last 7 Times The Yield Curve Inverted The U.S. Economy Was Hit By A Recession

via the economic collapse blog Be prepared for the next great transfer of wealth. Buy physical silver and storable food. Seven times since the 1960s we have seen the yield curve invert, and in each of those seven instances an economic recession in the United States has followed.  Will this time be any different?  Today, […]

Lacy Hunt On The Unintended Consequences Of Federal Reserve Policies

Authored by Mike Shedlock via www.themaven.net/mishtalk, The Financial Repression Authority interviewed Lacy Hunt, Chief Economist at Hoisington Management on Fed policies. The interview below first appeared on the FRA website along with a video. The emphasis in italics is mine. FRA: Hi, welcome to FRA’s Roundtable Insight. Today, we have Dr. Lacy Hunt. He’s an […]

Sharing Risks To Counter Germany’s Plans Seeing Target2 Collaterilazation With Gold Reserves

Marcello Minenna, a division head at the Italian securities regulator, emailed his plan to "Cure the Eurozone". Despite being quite soft (there will not be permanent transfers between Member States), the recent proposals of the European Commission to deepen integration in the economic and monetary union could meet the opposition of Germany as soon as […]

Bank Of Japan Leaves Policy Unchanged As Expected – Admits “Inflation Weakening”

As expected, The Bank of Japan left all of its various machinations of monetary policy unchanged with Kataoka the lone dissenter (preferring a more aggressive stance of yield curve control). The key line in the statement appears to be “inflation expectations have remained in a weakening phase,” which is the enabling narrative of lower and […]

What The Yield Curve Says About The Timing Of The Next Recession

While most financial professionals would enjoy nothing more than to trade bitcoin all day long – after all it only goes up in the long run (for now), while bringing insane volatility with it – the reality for most is that they are confined to such boring, established legacy instruments as Treasurys, which rarely have […]

Someone Just Made $60 Million Betting That The Crowd Is Wrong

Over the weekend we warned that just as everyone was convinced that the yield curve can only flatten from here, and was positioned massively on the long side of the 30Y future, the opposite was about to happen, and in a tweet highlighting the record net spec long positioning in 30Y futures, we said “here […]

Rising Interest Rates Starting To Bite

Submitted by Gary Evans of Global Macro Monitor We have long held that interest rates have been so low (especially real rates) that it will take some time to reach a level for them to really matter and impact markets. The 2-year yield crossing over the S&P500 dividend yield this past week for the first […]

US Yield Curve Crashes Most In 6 Years As Stocks, Bitcoin Hit Record Highs

What could go wrong?   Small Caps exploded higher today, driven by financials, presumably on tax reform hype.. but after Bob Corker said "yes" there was some notable "sell the news"… Notably, as soon as the cash market closed, futures ripped to the highs of the day…   On the week, Nasdaq (green) and Dow […]

“Everything’s Great!”

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, So much for that call. I thought there was no way Yellen would put her fingers in her ears, close her eyes, and shout “nah nah nah – I can’t hear you” to the speculative fervour that has gripped markets. Well, there is no way to […]

FOMC Hikes Rates As Expected: Expects 3 Hikes, Faster Growth As Two Dissent

With a 98.3% probability heading in, there was really no doubt the most-telegraphed rate-hike ever would occur, but all eyes are on the dots (rate trajectory shows 3 hikes in 2018), inflation outlook (unchanged), and growth outlook (faster growth in 2018), and lowered unemployment outlook to below 4%. The Fed also plans to increase its […]