Silver as an investment

Category Archives: yield

Warning: the Oil Crash Is Just Days Away From Triggering a Debt Crisis

The Oil collapse is about to trigger a crisis in junk bonds. Oil has been going straight down for weeks now. As we write this, black gold is below $43 a barrel, down 16% from its levels a month ago. “So what?” you might ask, “Oil experiences similar drops all the time. Why is this […]

SocGen: The Fed Is Raising Rates Too Slowly To Contain Asset Bubbles

Yesterday, when looking at the divergence between the slowing US economy and the Fed’s insistence on hiking rates, Bank of America’s David Woo asked if there is a different motive behind the Fed’s tightening intentions, namely is the Fed trying to pop the market asset bubble: “Can it be the case that its hawkishness was […]

VIX Jumps As Yield Curve Dumps To 7-Month Lows

Macro data, the dollar, and the yield curve are 'breaking bad' so when does the Walter White market die?   Another day, another set of dismal data (with soft data's dump continuing)…   But The Nasdaq was bid (up for the 8th day in a row), because the real economy doesn't matter and buying safe-haven […]

Bill Blain: “Maybe It’s Time To Quietly Exit”

By Bill Blain of Mint Partners Blain’s Morning Porridge – May 15th 2017 “In yacht racing, there is no second.” Ah the joy of a new week! What’s on the recipe today then? My colleague Simon Denehy started the day by pointing out UK 2-year gilts yield 0.12% – (his description of that number was […]

Bond Bears Battered To 5-Month Lows But Rate-Hike Bets Top $3.2 Trillion

Since their peak 'shortedness' in mid-January, US Treasury bond bears have covered 500,000 10-year-equivalent contracts, reducing the net speculative short to its lowest since before Thanksgiving 2016. At the same time, however, Eurodollar shorts (bets on Fed rate hikes) have soared to a new record high (over $3.2 trillion notional).   However, both the absolute […]

30Y Treasury Yield Back Below 3.00% As Shorts Squeezed To Lowest Since November

10Y yields are back below 2.40% and 30Y below 3.00% as the post-rate-hike curve collapse continues, aided by the biggest short-squeeze since Brexit sending speculative Treasury shorts to their lowest since November. The lofty fiscal expectations surrounding President Donald Trump have begun to subside.   Bond bears are having major second thoughts. As Bloomberg notes, […]

Stocks, Dollar, Bond Yields Tumble As GOP Leaders ‘Not Confident” They Have Votes

House leaders are reportedly mulling next steps if the health bill does not pas as GOP leaders are not confident that they have the votes to pass. The reaction in stocks was very fast… Stocks are fading fast to yesterday's lows and VIX is surging   10Y Yield dropped below 2.40%…   And the Dallar […]

Bank Stocks Stumble To 1-Month Lows As Yield Curve Slumps Post-Fed

Not sure why but this seemed appropriate after listening to the drivel from Washington (and Fed speakers) all day…   Bonds and Bullion the big winners post-Fed…   There were 3 notable legs lower in stocks today… The catalysts seemed to be 1335ET – *EVANS SEES MORE UPSIDE POSSIBILITY IN UNCERTAINTY FACING FED, THIS IS […]

Oh Sheet, It’s A REIT (The Coming Crisis)

By Chris at www.CapitalistExploits.at On Wednesday, we took a gander at global real estate and today I’ve got a follow up to that dealing with REITs. My long term buddy, fellow hedgie and confidant Kuppy, who can be found lurking here, shares his thoughts on the US real estate sector and in particular REITs: Him: I think people are […]

Credit Crash Concerns Spark Biggest Investor Underweight Since 2008

Alarm bells are starting to ring across multiple asset classes as we approach The Fed's first double-rate-hike-in-3-months since 2006. The most concerning canary in the coalmine is US credit markets…   After a bigly run-up from the Feb 2016 lows – on the heels of unprecedented central bank cooperation – IG bonds began to break […]