Silver as an investment

Category Archives: yield

“This Is The Catalyst For Everything”: Deutsche Sees Only Two More Rate Hikes Before The Fed Loses Control

In his latest weekend note, One River CIO Eric Peters discussed, among other topics, what he thought would be the nightmare scenario if not for the current, then certainly next Fed chairman: a world in which despite the Fed’s best intentions (and we use the term loosely), the Fed continued to hike rates without any […]

Global Bond Rout Accelerates Even As Dollar Rally Fizzles

In a continuation of trading patterns observed over the previous two days, on Thursday the global bond rout deepened in the aftermath of the release of President Trump’s tax-cut plan, Janet Yellen’s recent hawkish comments and renewed optimism over the health of the U.S. economy. While global stocks were mostly mixed as investors tried to […]

Tailing 2-Year Auction Prints At Highest Yield Since 2008

Having spooked the bond market earlier with her surprisingly hawkish remarks, and sending the 2Y surging while flattening the curve even more, moments ago the Treasury sold $26 billion in 2 Year paper at a yield of 1.462%, a notable jump from last month’s 1.345%, and the highest since October 2008. It also tailed by […]

Gold Drops, USD Pops As Yellen Warns “Fed Should Be Wary Of Moving Too Gradually”

On the heels of Fed chair Janet Yellen warning of looming inflation and the need for The Fed to perhaps not move as slowly as they have suggested, gold has snapped back below $1300 (erasing North Korean risks) and the dollar is extending gains… As Citi notes, for those hoping for hawkish comments, Yellen has […]

Dollar Jumps, Yield Curve Dumps As Fed Sends 2Y Yield To Highest Since 2008

The dollar spiked higher and the yield curve spiked lower following The Fed's hawkish statement. 2Y yields hit their highest since Dec 2008…   As December rate hike odds jumped to 63%.. so still not completely buying The Fed's plan…   The dollar spiked…   But the yield curve cracked notably flatter… as the long-end […]

“I Was Wrong”: Albert Edwards Finds Something That Has Never Happened Before

At the start of the year, we were surprised when SocGen’s Albert “Ice Age” Edwards, the biggest perma-deflationist on Wall Street, flipped his outlook on the US economy, and said he now expected a fast spike in inflation driven by wage growth, which in turn would prompt an even more accelerated tightening cycle by the […]

An Insane Bond Market In 4 Charts: “Italian Junk Bonds Yield Less Than US Treasurys”

In our “WTF Chart of the day” from last Friday, we showed something stunning: European junk bonds yields were the same, and in some cases lower, than comparable-maturity 10Y US Treasurys. In other words, the distortion unleashed by Mario Draghi’s CSPP, or corporate bond buying program unveiled last March, has made European junk bonds “safer” […]

Gold Erases Flash-Crash Losses As Dollar, Bond Yields Slide After Dismal ISM Data

When even the 'soft' survey data is disappointing – catching down to collapsing 'hard' data – it seems markets can't ignore reality any longer. While stocks are marginally lower following the collapse in ISM Services, Bond yields and the dollar are tumbling as gold lifts… The Dolar Index is testing yesterday's lows (and cycle lows)… […]

Bank of America: “Tick Tock”

The drums of doom from BofA’s Michael Hartnett (most notorious for his recent prediction of when “the Fed will crash the market“, and warning that “The Most Dangerous Moment For Markets Will Come In 3 Or 4 Months“) are beating louder, and in his latest Flow Show report titled “Tick Tock”, he doubles down on […]

3-Month Treasury-Bill Auction Prices At Highest Yield Since Lehman On Debt-Ceiling Concerns

It seems Morgan Stanely was right when they said "the debt ceiling worries us most," as today's 3-month T-Bill auction surprised the market with its highest yield since the fall of 2008, as investors continue to price concerns that the U.S. government will exhaust its borrowing authority around mid-October. As SMRA details: The 3-month bill […]