Silver as an investment

Tag Archives: options

“It’s A Vicious Cycle”: Goldman Abandons Equity Options Market-Making As Vol Collapses

October is historically the most volatile month of the year, but in 2017 – the average volatility of US equity markets dropped to an all-time record low…   … And you know something's wrong when, just like in early 2007 when the crash in vol killed the swaptions industry – just before all hell broke […]

It’s Time To Take Central Bankers’ “Calm Assurances” With A Pinch Of Salt

"It could be time to fire up your engines," suggests former fund manager Richard Breslow, urging some life back into the seemingly oblivious markets… Via Bloomberg, There’s a lot of uncertainty out there and the response to it shouldn’t be an inability to trade. How about a little frenetic back and forth? We could use […]

The Last Time Stocks Were This Calm, England Won The World Cup

1966 was a big year… Miranda Rights came into being in America, Vietnam War protests raged, the US department of Transportation was created, the mini skirt was invented, Batman and Star Trek debuts, NASA launches Lunar Orbiter 1 – the first U.S. spacecraft to orbit the Moon, race riots raged in Atlanta, Ronald Reagan entered […]

“Black Swan” Anxiety Has Never Been Higher

The Fed's Williams warns that they "don't want there to be excesses in financial markets… " Two quick things… The market has almost never been this expensive… As Peter Boockvar warns: "Almost there. S&P 500 price to sales ratio is just 4% from March 2000 peak." And investors have never been more concerned about 'black […]

A Market In Which “Shocks No Longer Shock”: Deutsche’s Kocic Explains How To Trade It

Back in June, one of Wall Street’s more philosophical derivatives strategists, DB’s Aleksandar Kocic looked at the state of the market and postulated that far from “stable” the existing risk  “equilibrium” is one which can be described as “metastable“, the result of widespread complacency, and which he compared to an avalanche where “a totally innocuous […]

The Cost Of Market Crash Insurance Just Hit A Record High

With the VIX surging, and then quickly getting pummeled on two occasions in the past three weeks, dizzy traders could be forgiven to assume that any latent “risk off” threat, whether from North Korea or the US political front, has been taken off the table. However, a deeper look inside the vol surface reveals something […]

“Why Does Extraordinarily Low Volatility Matter” Baupost Explains…

With elites increasingly sounding the alarm about the state of the stock market, and various market participants fearing the complacency is masking the fragility of the market's true character; it is no surprise that Baupost's recently named President and Head of Public Investments, Jim Mooney, has joined the chorus. While Mooney (and Klarman's) warning regarding […]

“The Swarm Effect”: Every Trader Today Has Just Two Choices

Few have dedicated as much time and effort into explaining the behavioral aspects of trading in a time of central planning (or “metastability“) as Deutsche Bank’s whimsical derivatives-philosopher, Aleksandar Kocic. Three weeks after becoming the first Wall Street strategist to quantify (and qualify) the concept of market “complacency“, and one week after explaining that the […]

Mark Cudmore: “The Marginal U.S. Stock Trader Will Be Selling Rather Than Buying This Week”

By Mark Cudmore, a former FX trader who writes for Bloomberg U.S. Equities Face a Tough Week as the Love Has Gone It’s going to be a long, tough week for U.S. equities. While there’s no need to overreact to the Trump administration’s very public failure to reform health care, the evidence suggests that the […]

1.4 Trillion Reasons Why Today’s ‘Quad Witch’ Could Matter

In 2015, options expirations mattered – stocks would tear higher into the event and like clockwork sink back lower after. 2016 was not so obvious but the all-important 'quad-witch' expirations still had some bias. However, if JPMorgan's equity derivative strategists are right, today's 'quad-witch'  – with $1.4 trillion worth of S&P 500 notional set to […]